Labor Market Information - The Connecticut Economic Digest

Labor Market Information - The Connecticut Economic Digest - Index of Articles

The Connecticut Economic Digest - Index of Articles

Last Updated: May 1, 2013

The Connecticut Economic Digest's purpose is to regularly provide users with a comprehensive source for the most current, up-to-date data available on the workforce and economy of the state, within perspectives of the region and nation.

Every month the Connecticut Economic Digest provides the most current economic data available for Connecticut. Decision-makers from many arenas are better informed because the Digest makes it possible to follow the trends and understand the status of economic forces that influence Connecticut's labor markets. We are pleased to continue providing information that is useful in making decisions, setting plans, and engaging in informed conversation.

Articles from the Connecticut Economic Digest may be reprinted if the source is credited. Please send copies of the reprinted material to the Managing Editor. The views expressed by the authors are theirs alone and may not reflect those of the Department of Labor or Department of Economic And Community Development. For further information, call the Office of Research at 860-263-6290 or e-mail to dol.econdigest@po.state.ct.us.

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Does Education Matter? May 2013 (419K) Pg.1,2 & 5.
By Sarah York, Economist, Department of Labor Sarah.York@ct.gov
With the varied reports on the state of the economy recently, many people are finding it difficult to tell which direction the economy is headed. The uncertainty leads many questioning their perceived notion on how to become successful in a chosen career. With increased attention on the costs of higher education coupled with the meek jobs reports, the decision to attend college may not seem worth it. However, an analysis of the most recent data available for Connecticut suggests that there is still a significant benefit to pursue higher education. [ see more ]
A Look at Phil Fed’s Coincident and Leading Indexes. April 2013 (423K) Pg.4
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL, Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
State Coincident Indexes. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states and the nation, and it combines four state-level indicators, nonfarm payroll employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary disbursements deflated by the consumer price index (U.S. city average) to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic. The trend for each state’s index is set to the trend of its gross domestic product (GDP), so longterm growth in the state’s index matches long-term growth in its GDP. [ see more ]
Connecticut's Modest Economic Recovery Continues in 2012. March 2013 (415K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL, Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
Many of the Connecticut economic indicators have shown signs of a continuation of a modest economic recovery last year. After our annual revision, Connecticut’s employment grew faster than originally estimated, keeping pace with the trend of 2011. Initial December 2012 employment estimate, for instance, was 100 lower than the December 2011 level. But it turns out that we actually had a gain of 8,600 jobs over the same period. And this year is off to a good start with a 4,700 job gain (+0.3%) in January, which is 8,000 more than a year ago. In fact, January’s 1,644,400 is the new high in this recovery. Unemployment rate also has been falling steadily in the last five months to 8.1% in January 2013, which is below last year’s 8.2%. [ see more ]
Connecticut's Private Sector Hours and Earnings: Working to Get Back to Normal. February 2013 (348K) Pg.1-5
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, DOL Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov
In 2007, just prior to the start of the “Great Recession,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a new series tracking hours and earnings for all private workers. The data are available for the U.S. and states for the aggregated private sector and major private industry divisions.
The series was developed because the traditional production worker hours and earnings estimates, produced since 1939 for war planning purposes in the goods-producing industries (construction and manufacturing), no longer captured the U.S. economy. Service-providing sectors were now adding the greater part of the new jobs and output in the globalized 21st century. The monthly estimates (average hourly length of the private sector workweek, average hourly private pay rates, and the average weekly private earnings) are samplebased, and have not yet been officially seasonally adjusted by the BLS. A total private level only estimate (no industry supersectors) is also being calculated for Connecticut’s six BLS-recognized labor market areas (LMAs). The new all employee private payroll data, after several years of availability, are starting to give some useful approximations of general workforce trends in the states. [ see more ]
The 2013 Economic Outlook. January 2013 (180K) Pg.1-5
By Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
As we begin a new year, the Digest looks at the economic prospects for the year ahead. This outlook is an interpretation of some of the most recent data and their trends, and offers some insights about what they portend for the U.S. and Connecticut economies.
The outlook for the U.S. economy is improving. Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) has grown for three and a half years since the “Great Recession” ended in Q2-2009. The constant dollar value of all goods and services produced by labor and capital located in the U.S. since then has averaged 2.2% at an annual rate from the preceding quarter (Figure 1). Decreasing by 3.1% in 2009, growing 2.4% in 2010, 1.8% in 2011, and an estimated 3.1% in Q3-2012, RGDP growth of 1.8% to 2.4% is likely in 2013. The New England Economic Partnership (NEEP), a consortium of government, business, and academia, in its proprietary forecast sees RGDP growth at 2.4% in 2013. The National Association of Business Economists (NABE) outlook panel sees 2.4% growth in 2013 [ see more ]
Job Polarization in Connecticut. December 2012 (185K) Pg.1,2 & 5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, DOL, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
In recent months, much has been written of the hollowing out of the middle class during the recovery. A New York Times article partially attributes this to longterm trends of automation and globalization that cause a polarization of labor to high and low wage employment. The same article extensively reports on the findings by The National Employment Law Project (NELP). Their work analyzed nationwide Current Population Survey (CPS) data and found middle wage jobs incurred a majority of job losses during the recession, while lowwage jobs experienced a majority of post-recession job growth. The report also found the share of high wage job losses and subsequent gains to be 19 and 20 percent. [ see more ]
A Look at the Help Wanted OnLine Data Series. December 2012 (185K) Pg.3 & 4
By Sarah York, CCT Economist, DOL, Sarah.York@ct.gov
Gone are the days when the most effective and utilized job search method was to open up your local newspaper. The use of online databases by job seekers has become much more prevalent in recent years. In an effort to reflect this reality, the Conference Board replaced its Help Wanted newspaper employment index with the Help Wanted OnLine Data Series (HWOL) in 2005. The series can be used for a variety of purposes, but its strengths may lie as an indicator of job demand as represented by employment vacancies and as a leading indicator of potential shifts in actual employment levels. [ see more ]
Local Area Unemployment Statistics: A Primer. November 2012 (180K) Pg.1-5
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, Department of Labor Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
Unexpected movements in recent unemployment rate numbers surprised and puzzled many data users in the state. While sometimes no plausible explanations can readily be found behind these statistics, the unemployment rate has been and is undoubtedly one of the most important economic indicators in Connecticut and the nation that cannot simply be ignored or dismissed. So do you ever wonder how the unemployment rate is calculated for Connecticut? How about for all nine labor market areas and for all 169 cities and towns? Given the intense focus on Connecticut’s unemployment rate the last few months, it is worth spending time to build a common understanding of how the rate is determined. [ see more ]
Connecticut and the Housing Bust: A Tale of Two Bubbles October 2012 (349K) Pg.1-5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
On July 18, 2012, the Center for Real Estate and Urban Economic Studies (CREUES) at the University of Connecticut released their study in which they found signs of stabilizing housing prices after more than a year of declines. They found that over the previous year prices had stabilized or increased throughout most of Connecticut’s markets, and that those areas with declines also showed improvement with smaller drops. Nationally, in their 2012 report released in June, the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University stated:
After several false starts, there is reason to believe that 2012 will mark the beginning of a true housing market recovery. Sustained employment growth remains key, providing the stimulus for stronger household growth and bringing relief to some distressed homeowners. They went on to caution: While gaining ground, the homeowner market still faces multiple challenges. If the broader economy weakens in the short term, the housing rebound could again stall. [ see more ]
Unemployment Insurance Covered Employment and Wages: 2011 Annual Review. August 2012 (418K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
The number of workers in Connecticut covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) laws increased by 1.0 percent during 2011, according to data derived through the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. The 2011 increase reversed the trend over the previous two years when annual average employment declined; down 1.2 percent in 2010 and 4.3 percent in 2009. Total private industry employment, accounting for 85.3 percent of the State’s employment total, increased by 1.6 percent, while government employment fell by 1.9 percent. [ see more ]
Connecticut Occupational Employment and Wages in 2012. August 2012 (418K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Lisa Castagna, DOL, Lisa.Castagna@ct.gov) & Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
The recently released statistics by the Office of Research in the Connecticut Department of Labor showed that retail salespersons (50,190) and cashiers (39,640) were the occupations with the highest employment in Connecticut. These two occupations combined made up nearly 6 percent of total Connecticut employment. [ see more ]
Even in Tough Times, Education Improves Chances in Labor Market. July 2012 (419K) Pg.3-4
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor, Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
During graduation season, there were a number of stories in the news about the difficulty that many new college graduates are having finding employment, particularly high paying employment within a field related to their course of study. In addition, announcements by many institutions of tuition and fee increases and the debates in Washington about the interest rate changed on student loans generated media attention on the high cost of higher education. Implicit in some of this coverage is the idea that given the high cost of going to college, and the shortterm difficulty of some college graduates in the labor market, a college education might not be “worth it.” While “individual results may vary” as they say (in fact they do vary significantly), on average additional education is still associated with increased employment and higher long term earnings prospects. [ see more ]
Drag Forces From Balance Sheet Recession Still Constrain Growth: The Employment Outlook to 2013 June 2012 (359K) Pg.1-5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
Drag is the aerodynamic force that opposes an aircraft’s motion through the air. If for our analogy, we cast the aircraft as the economy, then the drag force on the economy is the $16.4 trillion collapse in net worth of U.S. households between 2007Q2 and 2009Q1. As of the fourth quarter of 2011, U.S. household net worth was still down $8.4 trillion from its peak. Further, the net worth of non-incorporated businesses was still down $2 trillion from its peak, also in 2007Q2. As noted in The Outlook to 2012, the recent downturn was no “ordinary” recession, and this is not a “normal” recovery. This recovery not only followed a financial panic, but also the first popping of asset bubbles in housing and the stock market, in conjunction with unsustainable levels of household debt since the 1920s. This wiped out the net worth of a significant number of households, as well as unincorporated businesses, leaving in its wake what has been called a Balance Sheet Recession. Balance sheet recessions are steeper and last longer than nonbalance sheet recessions, and they are followed by weaker recoveries5 as households reduce their spending and pay down debt to repair their net worth. [ see more ]
Is Connecticut a Small Business State? May 2012 (329K) Pg.1-5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
A widely held belief is small businesses create most of the new jobs. Given the recent recession and slow recovery, there is a lot of interest in job creation and policies to promote economic growth. Using a newly available data set from the U.S. Census, this article explores the notion of job creation by both firm age and firm size, and seeks to provide some clarity on the underlying dynamics of Connecticut’s labor market.
The Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) produced by the U.S. Census Bureau is compiled using the Census Bureau’s Business Register. The Business Register covers establishments of all domestic businesses including the self-employed, but excluding private households and governments. The BDS dataset tabulates data at the establishment level (an establishment is a fixed physical location where economic activity takes place). Establishments all belong to firms (a firm may be the parent of one establishment or multiple establishments). When analyzing BDS data for Connecticut it is important to note that though the establishments are all based within Connecticut, parent firms for Connecticut’s establishments can be located anywhere in the nation. [ see more ]
Connecticut Continues on a Path to Recovery. March 2012 (415K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, DOL Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov & Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL, Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
Connecticut’s employment recovery from the devastating global financial recession continues. However, much more remediation, rebirth, and renewal are needed for a stable and lasting jobs revival. The January 2012 total nonfarm employment estimate is off to a promising start toward that end with a 7,100 job gain (0.4%). And the year-over-year job growth is accelerating to 0.7% in January 2012 from 0.5% in December 2011. The recently revised seasonally adjusted employment estimates confirm that Connecticut is making its way beyond this generational downturn. [ see more ]
Connecticut's Bioscience Industry: An Update. February 2012 (415K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Stan McMillen, Ph.D., Managing Economist, DECD, Stan.McMillen@ct.gov & Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
The “Bioscience Connecticut” initiative that emerged in May 2011 is an $864 million investment that intends to make the University of Connecticut’s Health Center (UCHC) a hub of research and clinical work in bioscience. This initiative reinforces the state’s ongoing and renewed commitment to make Connecticut a leader in the bioscience industry. The “Bioscience Connecticut” initiative anticipates creating 3,000 jobs annually from 2012 through 2018 in the construction of a new patient tower and ambulatory care facility and renovations to existing research facilities. The plan estimates the creation of 16,400 jobs through 2037, a doubling of federal and industry research grants, as well as increased access to high quality health care, increased medical and dental school enrollments (+30%) and an increase in the number of primary and specialty care clinicians to meet forecasted workforce shortages and increased demand for healthcare services. [ see more ]
The Connecticut Economic Outlook for 2012. January 2012 (410K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Stan McMillen, Ph.D., Managing Economist, DECD, Stan.McMillen@ct.gov & Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
Since the “Great Recession” ended in Q2-2009 per the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee, real gross domestic product (RGDP) growth has been positive. The growth rate of the constant dollar value of all goods and services produced by labor and capital located in the U.S. has averaged 2.5% at an annual rate from the preceding quarter (Figure 1) In 2010, RGDP grew 3.0%, after decreasing by 0.3% in 2008 and 3.5% in 2009. We believe U.S. RGDP growth will be between 1.5% and 2% in 2012. The New England Economic Partnership (NEEP), a consortium of government, business and academia, in its proprietary forecast sees RGDP growth at 1.8% in 2012. The National Association of Business Economists (NABE) outlook panel sees 2.4% growth in 2012. [ see more ]
Connecticut's UI Exhaustees: Where Are They Now? * November 2011 (351K) Pg.1-3, 5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
The recession of the late 2000’s is the worst to hit the United States since the depression of the 1930’s. Nineteen months after the official completion of Connecticut’s recession, the unemployment rate is still stubbornly stuck around 9%. Based on data from the Current Employment Survey (CES), it is estimated about 119,000 jobs were lost in Connecticut through December 2009. Connecticut gained 24,300 jobs from January 2010, the end of Connecticut’s recession, to January 2011. However, from January 2011 to July 2011, only about 8,500 jobs have been created. At the current level of job growth, it will take many years to employ those laid off by the recession. [ see more ]
* This a partial reprint of “Following Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance Claimants Through the Recession,” by Manisha Srivastava, DOL, October 2011. For the full report, including an analysis on the demographics of current claimants, download: http://www1.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/pubs/ConnecticutUIClaimants.pdf
Young People Aren't Fleeing and the Cities Aren't Dying. October 2011 (419K) Pg.1-3, 5
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, DOL, Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
Data from the U.S. Census Bureau refute the conventional wisdom that young people are leaving Connecticut in droves and the population of our cities is in decline. One example of popular perceptions comes from the “2011 Survey of Connecticut Business” released in early September by BlumShapiro and CBIA which reported “An overwhelming majority of respondents (85%) worry about the state’s slow population growth and out-migration of 21-to-45 year-olds.” Similarly, when population estimates from the 2009 American Community Survey (ACS) were released, a press release was headlined “Connecticut Still at Bottom in Attracting, Keeping 25-34-Year-Olds.” In fact, the 2010 U.S. Census confirms that Ct’s population is aging, but that the situation is not as dire or dramatic as perceptions would suggest. [ see more ]
Covered Employment and Wages: 2010 Annual Review. August 2011 (412K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
Employment in Connecticut covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) decreased by 1.2 percent during 2010, according to preliminary figures that recently became available through the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. While 2010 recorded the second consecutive drop in annual average employment, the rate of decline was less than in 2009 when covered employment dropped by 4.3 percent. Total private industry employment, constituting 84.8 percent of the State’s employment total, decreased by 1.1 percent, while government employment fell by 1.7 percent. [ see more ]
The Ups and Downs of Recovering from a Balance Sheet Recession: The Outlook to 2012 June 2011 (417K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
The ups and downs of this recovery continue as U.S. GDP growth decelerated from 3.1% (on an annualized basis) in 2010Q4 to 1.8% in 2011Q1. But then, U.S. nonfarm payroll employment grew by 244,000 in April. After the killing of Osama bin Laden, commodity prices, including oil, plummeted the first week of May. However, this may have also been driven by the retreat of speculators and a bearish outlook for the world economy. [ see more ]
Manufacturing Isn't Dead: It Doesn't Even Look That Way! April 2011 (421K) Pg.3
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor,Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
Some have erroneously declared manufacturing “dead,” particularly in a state like Connecticut that has seen manufacturing’s share of total employment fall nearly in half in the past twenty years. But this pronouncement is not just “premature” (to quote Mark Twain) but completely unwarranted. While a smaller share of total employment, manufacturing is and will continue to be a vital component of Connecticut’s economy and labor market, and Connecticut will remain a place where manufacturers can grow and prosper. [ see more ]
Connecticut Recovery Began in January 2010. March 2011 (408K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, Department of Labor Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
The Great Recession II that began in March 2008 has ended in January 2010 for Connecticut, as measured by the total nonfarm employment. The newly revised seasonally adjusted employment data showed January 2010 to be the bottom of this awful economic downturn, one month later than originally anticipated. Over the 22 months of the recession, nearly 119,200 jobs were lost, about 20,000 more than originally estimated last March (see “Connecticut Recession to End in December 2009?” Connecticut Economic Digest, March 2010). [ see more ]
The Connecticut Economic Outlook for 2011. January 2011 (410K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Stan McMillen, Ph.D., Managing Economist, DECD, Stan.McMillen@ct.gov & Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
The Nation. We expect the modest expansion of the U.S. economy that began in the third quarter of 2009 will continue in 2011. The outlook for continued recovery from the longest recession since the 1930s that began in December 2007 and lasted 18 months is tempered by harsh realities - notably, unacceptably high unemployment and a weak housing market. Yet, private sector employment increased in each month last year, totaling 1.1 million jobs through October 2010. Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000 or 4.1% above the Sept'2009 rate of 586,000. U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an average rate of 2.8% each quarter since the Q3-2009 expansion began. [ see more ]
Connecticut's Gross Domestic Product Declines in 2009. December 2010 (550K) Pg.5
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, Department of Labor Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov
Connecticut’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the most comprehensive measure of total economic activity or value added in the state, was down as expected in 2009. On both a real (chained 2005 dollars) and current dollar basis, Connecticut GDP declined. The decrease in real CT GDP, which considers inflation’s impact, was -3.1%, while the drop in current dollar GDP fell 1.2% from 2008 estimates.* Connecticut’s real GDP was estimated at $205.7 billion and current dollar value GDP was calculated at $227.4 billion. [ see more ]
The Face of the Long-Term Unemployed. November 2010 (473K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Manisha Srivastava, CCT Economist, Department of Labor Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
After much political debate, Congress approved extending unemployment insurance benefits for the long-term unemployed until November 30, 2010. The extended Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) program is 100% federally funded. This is in contrast to the regular Unemployment Compensation (UC) program that is fully State funded. The EUC program is a newly created program as of June 30, 2008 in response to the current financial crisis. It is the first time in the 75-year history of UC that benefits have been extended for up to 99 weeks. [ see more ]
Connecticut Employment and Wages: A 2009 Review. August 2010 (411K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
The recessionary impacts on Connecticut’s economy that began being felt during the second half of 2008 took full effect in 2009. Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) covered employment dropped 4.3 percent during 2009. Records going back as far as 1969 show 2009’s percentage decline was the second largest only behind the 5 percent drop that occurred during 1991. Another indicator of the economic woes the State faced in 2009 was that the average annual wage of Connecticut workers ($57,755) decreased from the previous year ($58,334). A review of data dating back as far as 1969 shows that this was only the second time this anomaly has occurred. The only other year that annual pay per employee decreased was 2002. [ see more ]
Forecast to 2011: Navigating the Crosscurrents. June 2010 (212K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
On May 6, 2010, the Dow plunged nearly 1,000 points until recovering to close down 347.80 (-3.20%) points, an unpleasant reminder of 2008. Despite the infamous "fat finger" glitch and model-driven threshold selling, the underlying driver of the market's gyrations was the sovereign debt crisis centered on Greece. It is a stark reminder that the world's financial system is still very fragile. On the other hand, the U.S. jobs report for April 2010, which came out the next day, showed that the national economy had added 290,000 jobs in April the best monthly performance in four years. These two events highlight the strong crosscurrents that are pulling the economy, both up and down at the same time, as this apparent turning point proceeds. [ see more ]

Unemployment Insurance Supports the State's Economy. May 2010 (203K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
There are two sets of objectives addressed by the unemployment insurance system. The primary objectives are aimed directly at providing financial help to workers during temporary periods of involuntary unemployment, thereby reducing the economic insecurity faced by individuals and their families. The secondary objectives are to promote economic stability and efficiency. The focus of this article is on the role of unemployment insurance (UI) as an automatic stabilizer for the economy, to dampen the amplitude of the business cycle. By design, automatic stabilizers dampen fluctuations in economic activity as those fluctuations occur. Unemployment insurance works by putting a floor under the fall in consumers’ disposable income. It provides eligible unemployed workers with temporary benefit payments, thereby cushioning their decline in disposable personal income. [ see more ]

U.S. Census Brings Temporary Federal Jobs. April 2010 (145K) Pg.4
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, Department of Labor Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov
By now most Connecticut households have received their 2010 Census forms. Advanced notifications were sent out in early March, followed soon after by the official 2010 Census forms. The 2010 Census forms were projected to arrive at U.S. residences in late March, to be completed and customarily returned in April. April 1st is National Census Day, and some newly hired census takers were expected to start late on March 31st with a rural canvassing and an urban homeless headcount campaign. Then a labor-intensive address follow-up and localized information drive is normally planned for May through July. By mid-summer, the short-term local economic impacts of the Census will be all but over. An evaluation of federal government civilian employment for Connecticut over the last four decades shows the U.S. Census employment buildup that occurs once every ten years in the state seems to follow this basic pattern. [ see more ]

Connecticut Recession to End in December 2009? March 2010 (423K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, Department of Labor Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
The Great Recession II that began in March 2008 may finally be over for Connecticut. The newly revised nonfarm employment data appears to show December 2009 to be the bottom of this treacherous economic downturn. While we added 2,300 jobs in January, and need to see how the next several months will pan out, it appears that our State’s economy has begun to rebound. Connecticut’s year-over-year percent changes in employment began to decline at a slower rate starting in September 2009, and recovery in terms of output has already begun nationally. The State’s average weekly initial claims data peaked in March 2009 and has been trending down. The stock market also bottomed out in March last year and corporate profits have rebounded. Even last year’s employment trend in the Connecticut employment services industry, a leading indicator of our State’s total nonfarm employment, appears to have bottomed out. However, while the prospects of employment dropping below December 2009’s level is not anticipated, the uncertain nature of the economy warrants a cautious approach, as both the national and Connecticut’s recovery remain tenuous at best. [ see more ]

Last but Not Dead. February 2010 (401K) Pg.1-2, 5
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
Several media stories have reported that “Connecticut’s job growth ranks dead last in the nation.” The truth of this statement depends on the answer to the question, “since when?” For example, if the period used to calculate job growth is February 1989 to December 2009 then the statement is true. Payroll employment in Connecticut is down more than 3.5% from where it was more than 20 years ago, giving us the worst job performance in the country. On this measure, Connecticut is below even Michigan (down about 1.4%) and Rhode Island (down 2.1%) with the rest of the nation showing gains. [ see more ]
The Connecticut Economic Outlook for 2010. January 2010 (413K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Stan McMillen, Ph.D., Managing Economist, DECD, Stan.McMillen@ct.gov & Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
The Nation. In 2010, the U.S. economy will begin recovering from the current severe recession that began in December 2007. This outlook is supported by historic experience and recent positive developments. Since World War II, the average length of U.S. recessions has been 10.5 months with the longest lasting 16 months. The current recession is already longer and some observers consider it to have ended in the third quarter of 2009 (Q3-2009). They note that quarter-over-quarter real gross domestic product (RGDP) grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% from Q2-2009 according to the revised estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In Q2-2009, RGDP declined by 0.7%, moderating from Q1-2009 when RGDP declined by 6.4%. [ see more ]

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Job Polarization in Connecticut. December 2012 (185K) Pg.1,2 & 5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, DOL, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
In recent months, much has been written of the hollowing out of the middle class during the recovery. A New York Times article partially attributes this to longterm trends of automation and globalization that cause a polarization of labor to high and low wage employment. The same article extensively reports on the findings by The National Employment Law Project (NELP). Their work analyzed nationwide Current Population Survey (CPS) data and found middle wage jobs incurred a majority of job losses during the recession, while lowwage jobs experienced a majority of post-recession job growth. The report also found the share of high wage job losses and subsequent gains to be 19 and 20 percent. [ see more ]
Youth Employment Patterns Revisited. September 2012 (198K) Pg.1-5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
Last summer, the Connecticut Economic Digest published an article on youth employment in Connecticut. It used wage and Department of Motor Vehicles records to illustrate employment change by industry from the second to third quarter of 2007 and 2010. The article noted that youth employment declined at nearly three times the rate of overall Connecticut employment. This summer, the Census Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) dataset has been examined to provide a more detailed and longer-term analysis of labor market changes for youths in Connecticut. The analysis provides more detail as to how the recession has affected the state’s youngest segment of the labor force and analyzes long-term trends that help indicate the direction we are heading a full 3 years into the NBER-declared recovery. [ see more ]
Is Connecticut a Small Business State? May 2012 (329K) Pg.1-5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
A widely held belief is small businesses create most of the new jobs. Given the recent recession and slow recovery, there is a lot of interest in job creation and policies to promote economic growth. Using a newly available data set from the U.S. Census, this article explores the notion of job creation by both firm age and firm size, and seeks to provide some clarity on the underlying dynamics of Connecticut’s labor market.
The Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) produced by the U.S. Census Bureau is compiled using the Census Bureau’s Business Register. The Business Register covers establishments of all domestic businesses including the self-employed, but excluding private households and governments. The BDS dataset tabulates data at the establishment level (an establishment is a fixed physical location where economic activity takes place). Establishments all belong to firms (a firm may be the parent of one establishment or multiple establishments). When analyzing BDS data for Connecticut it is important to note that though the establishments are all based within Connecticut, parent firms for Connecticut’s establishments can be located anywhere in the nation. [ see more ]
Employment Patterns and Structural Unemployment April 2012 (419K) Pg.3-4
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
The recent recession has raised the question of structural unemployment’s contribution to the stubbornly high unemployment rates that have thus far typified the recovery period. Structural change—the permanent relocation of workers from some industries to others, is a dynamic process that occurs throughout business cycles [ see more ]
Connecticut's UI Exhaustees: Where Are They Now? * November 2011 (351K) Pg.1-3, 5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
The recession of the late 2000’s is the worst to hit the United States since the depression of the 1930’s. Nineteen months after the official completion of Connecticut’s recession, the unemployment rate is still stubbornly stuck around 9%. Based on data from the Current Employment Survey (CES), it is estimated about 119,000 jobs were lost in Connecticut through December 2009. Connecticut gained 24,300 jobs from January 2010, the end of Connecticut’s recession, to January 2011. However, from January 2011 to July 2011, only about 8,500 jobs have been created. At the current level of job growth, it will take many years to employ those laid off by the recession. [ see more ]
* This a partial reprint of “Following Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance Claimants Through the Recession,” by Manisha Srivastava, DOL, October 2011. For the full report, including an analysis on the demographics of current claimants, download: http://www1.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/pubs/ConnecticutUIClaimants.pdf
Youth Employment in Connecticut. July 2011 (419K) Pg.3
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
For many, summer is a time for relaxation. The season is typified by sunny weather, family vacations, barbeques and trips to the beach. However, the season also represents a young workers initiation into the labor force. Be it work as a camp counselor, lifeguard, salesperson or waitress, those summer jobs teach youths valuable skills they will carry with them onto enhanced employment opportunities later in life. Unfortunately, for a growing number of American youths, these jobs are increasingly hard to find. [ see more ]
A New Approach to Analyzing the Gender Wage Gap. April 2011 (415K) Pg.1-3,&5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
"Equal Pay Day” takes place on a Tuesday in April (April 12th this year), symbolizing how far into the workweek women must work to earn what men earned the previous week. The gender wage gap is calculated by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS), and is based on data collected through surveys. This article takes a new approach to understanding the gender wage gap using wage records from Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) program. The gender wage gap is analyzed by age group and in further detail for select industries, with interesting implications for policy makers. [ see more ]
The Face of the Long-Term Unemployed. November 2010 (473K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Manisha Srivastava, CCT Economist, Department of Labor Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
After much political debate, Congress approved extending unemployment insurance benefits for the long-term unemployed until November 30, 2010. The extended Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) program is 100% federally funded. This is in contrast to the regular Unemployment Compensation (UC) program that is fully State funded. The EUC program is a newly created program as of June 30, 2008 in response to the current financial crisis. It is the first time in the 75-year history of UC that benefits have been extended for up to 99 weeks. [ see more ]
A 2010 LANDING? The Connecticut Employment Outlook to 2010 June 2009, (414K) Pg.1.
Area Employment Projections to 2008. April 2001, (230K) Pg.4.
A short look at long-term employment projections. April 1998, (207K) Pg.1, 4.
Connecticut Employment Outlook to 2007. June 2006, (590K) Pg.1.
Connecticut Employment Outlook to 2008. June 2007, (235K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut Employment Outlook to Fourth Quarter 2006 June 2005, (541K) Pg.2-5.
Connecticut Employment Trends. July 2007, (524K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut Industry Employment Outlook to Fourth Quarter 2003. October 2002, (235K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut Industry Employment Outlook to Second Quarter 2004. April 2003, (236K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut Industry Employment Outlook to Fourth Quarter 2004. June 2004, (229K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut's Investment Employment Rising. March 2007, (544K) Pg.1-5.
CT's Multiple Jobholders Rise to 6.3 Percent in 2007 February 2009, (407K) Pg.3.
Connecticut's Occupational Structure: A Regional View. May 1999, (273K) Pg.1-2.
Continued Employment and Wage Growth in Third Quarter 2000. April 2001, (230K) Pg.7.
Connecticut's 2008 Employment Situation, A Tale of Two Trends Aug 2009, (397K) Pg.1.
County Trends Examined. August 1999, (188K) Pg.1-4.
Defense-Related Employment-Can Connecticut Stop the Decline? February 2005, (643K) Pg.2-5.
Defining Employment. May 1999, (273K) Pg.3-4.
Employment and wages grew in 1Q97. December 1997, (249K) Pg.1-3.
Employment And Wages: Peak To Trough To Present. November 1998, (287K) Pg.1, 3-4.
Employment Estimating Methods Evolving. December 2000, (173K) Pg.1-2, 4.
Employment Projections: 1998-2008. March 2001, (226K) Pg.1-2, 4.
Employment services industry: a harbinger of the economy. May 2006, (495K) Pg.1.
Employment trends are analyzed from ES-202 data. December 1996, (233K) Pg.1-3.
(Almost) Everything You Wanted to Know About Connecticut’s Employment Numbers... But Were Afraid to Ask. October 2008, (410K) Pg.1-3.
Growth in Employment Slowed by Connecticut's Industry Mix. March 2006, (660K) Pg.1.
JOBS AND CYCLES: Historical Patterns in Connecticut's Employment Behavior. November 2005, (589K) Pg.1.
Modest gain in 2004 UI covered employment. August 2005, (573K) Pg.1-3, 5.
Occupational Employment Forecast to 2008. May 2001, (378K) Pg.1-3, 7.
Outsourcing: implications for employment. July 2004, (240K) Pg.1-5.
Part time story, The. July 1997, (185K) Pg.4.
The Bad News, the Not-So-Bad News and the Good News about Connecticut's Unemployment Rate November 2009 (402K) Pg.1-3, 5.
The Growth of Self-Employment November 2007, (572K) Pg.1-2, 5.
Turning Point: Connecticut Employment Outlook to 2009. June 2008, (420K) Pg.1-2, 5.
UI Covered Employment Approaches a Record Level. November 2000, (181K) Pg.1-4.
UI Covered employment continues upward trend in 2006. August 2007, (555K) Pg.1-5.
UI Covered Employment Declines in 2001 - First Time in Eight Years August 2002, (247K) Pg.1-5.
UI Covered Employment Declines in 2002 - Second Consecutive Year. September 2003, (230K) Pg.1, 5.
UI Covered Employment Increases in 2005 - Second Consecutive Year. August 2006, (582K) Pg.1-4.
UI Covered Employment Sets New High in 2007. Aug 2008, (412K) Pg.1-3, 5.
UI Covered Employment Reaches a New High in 2000. August 2001, (211K) Pg.1-3.
UI Covered Employment Sets New Record, Wage Growth Continues. July 2001, (215K) Pg.7.
U.S. self-employment rates. October 2004, (335K) Pg.1,5.

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Connecticut Exports: 2012 in Review. April 2013 (423K) Pg.1-3, 5.
By Laura Jaworski, Office of International and Domestic Affairs, DECD
Each year The Digest takes a look at Connecticut’s annual export performance. Exports are an important contributor to the state’s economy, create jobs and spur economic growth. In 2012, Connecticut’s commodity exports totaled $15.86 billion, a slight 2.14% decline from the $16.21 billion recorded in 2011. These commodity exports represent approximately 7% of Connecticut’s gross state product (state GSP), up from 4.9% of state GSP just ten years earlier in 2002.[ see more ]
Connecticut Exports: 2011 in Review. April 2012 (421K) Pg.1-2, 5.
By Laura Jaworski, Office of International and Domestic Affairs, DECD
Exports are an engine of growth and an important contributor to gross domestic product. In Connecticut, commodity exports represent approximately 7% of the gross state product (state GDP). Exports sustain and create jobs and also have a multiplier effect on the economy. Given the fact that 95% of the world’s consumers live outside the U.S., it makes sense to pursue foreign market opportunities and reach those consumers, generate new business, create jobs and spur economic growth and recovery. [ see more ]
Connecticut Exports: 2010 in Review. April 2011 (421K) Pg.1-2, 5.
By Laura Jaworski, Office of International and Domestic Affairs, DECD
In a climate of fiscal and budgetary challenges, it is imperative to recognize that export growth is a vehicle to achieve the twin goals of job creation and economic recovery. Exports are an engine of growth and an important contributor to gross domestic product. In Connecticut, commodity exports represent approximately 7% of the gross state product (state GDP). Exports sustain and create jobs and have a multiplier effect on the economy. Given the fact that 95% of the world’s consumers live outside the U.S., it makes sense to pursue foreign market opportunities and reach those consumers, generate new business, create jobs and spur economic growth and recovery. Exports are critical for business and economic success. [ see more ]
Exports: Opportunities for Economic Growth. April 2010 (419K) Pg.1-2, 5.
By Laura Jaworski, Office of International and Domestic Affairs, DECD
During his January 2010 State of the Union address, President Obama announced a goal of doubling U.S. exports over the next five years. To reach this goal, the President unveiled a National Export Initiative (NEI) that focuses on three key areas: (1) expanding trade advocacy and educating companies about overseas market opportunities; (2) improving businesses’ access to credit and (3) enforcing international trade laws and removing unfair tariff and non-tariff barriers that prevent U.S. companies from entering foreign markets. [ see more ]
1998 Exports Reach All-Time High. April 1999, (321K) Pg.1-2, 4.
Connecticut Exports - 2006, A Very Good Year. April 2007, (525K) Pg.1-5.
Export growth highest in seven years. June 1998, (236K) Pg.1-2.
Exports, an Economic Bright Spot: 2008 Connecticut Exports in Review April 2009, (407K) Pg.1.
New Gains for Exports: 2005 Connecticut Exports in Review. April 2006, (495K) Pg.1.
Recent Connecticut Export Performance Explored. November 2002, (238K) Pg.1-3.
The Export Engine: 2007 Connecticut Exports in Review April 2008, (565K) Pg.1-2, 5.

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Connecticut and the Housing Bust: A Tale of Two Bubbles October 2012 (349K) Pg.1-5
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Department of Labor Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
On July 18, 2012, the Center for Real Estate and Urban Economic Studies (CREUES) at the University of Connecticut released their study in which they found signs of stabilizing housing prices after more than a year of declines. They found that over the previous year prices had stabilized or increased throughout most of Connecticut’s markets, and that those areas with declines also showed improvement with smaller drops. Nationally, in their 2012 report released in June, the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University stated:
After several false starts, there is reason to believe that 2012 will mark the beginning of a true housing market recovery. Sustained employment growth remains key, providing the stimulus for stronger household growth and bringing relief to some distressed homeowners. They went on to caution: While gaining ground, the homeowner market still faces multiple challenges. If the broader economy weakens in the short term, the housing rebound could again stall. [ see more ]

State Housing Market Languished in 2011. July 2011 (419K) Pg.1-2,& 5
By Kolie Sun, Senior Research Analyst, DECD Kolie.Sun@ct.gov
The housing sector continued to be a drag on the economy through 2011 as suggested by a number of indicators, including record-low permit production and weak home sales. This article examines the 2011 housing market from several perspectives and includes some observations. [ see more ]

State's Housing Market: a Long Road to Recovery. July 2011 (419K) Pg.1-2,& 5
By Kolie Sun, Senior Research Analyst, DECD Kolie.Sun@ct.gov

Housing market activity is one of the barometers of the health of the state and national economies. The anemic housing permit growth, weak home price increases, and fewer residential real estate transactions in 2010 - when coupled with high unemployment, a jobless economic recovery and a rising foreclosure rate - suggest that the state’s housing doldrums may continue. This article examines the housing market from several perspectives. [ see more ]

State’s Housing Troubles Continued in 2009. July 2010 (416K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Kolie Sun, Senior Research Analyst, DECD Kolie.Sun@ct.gov

The Connecticut and U.S. economies experienced financial turmoil that began in the fall of 2008 and continued into the Great Recession of 2009. Nearly all sectors felt the adverse impacts of the recession, which resulted in higher unemployment, declining personal income and corporate revenues and weakened consumer confidence. The housing sector is a major contributor to the economic turmoil in 2009, as this analysis of the state’s residential permit activities, home prices and foreclosures will clearly show. [ see more ]

1998: A Stellar Year for Housing. July 1999, (192K) Pg.1-2.

2007 State Housing Market Continues to Trend Downward. July 2008, (415K) Pg.1-2, 5.

Connecticut's Housing Industry in 2002: A Look Back. August 2003, (240K) Pg.1, 5.

Connecticut's housing market remains healthy. September 2006, (563K) Pg.1-4.

Housing 2000: Strong & Steady. July 2001, (215K) Pg.1-2.

Housing 2003 - the results are in. September 2004, (226K) Pg.1,5.

Housing permits reviewed. June 1997, (177K) Pg.1-3.

Housing sector buoyant. May 1998, (257K) Pg.1-2.

Housing Sector Remained Strong in 1999. July 2000, (176K) Pg.1-2.

Housing Industry Worsened in 2008 July 2009, (416K) Pg.1.

Is There a Housing Bubble? September 2005, (640K) Pg.1-3, 5.

State Housing Market Cooled in 2006. September 2007, (634K) Pg.1-2, 5.

The State of the Housing Industry. September 2002, (268K) Pg.4.

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Connecticut's Private Sector Hours and Earnings: Working to Get Back to Normal. February 2013 (348K) Pg.1-5
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, DOL Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov
In 2007, just prior to the start of the “Great Recession,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a new series tracking hours and earnings for all private workers. The data are available for the U.S. and states for the aggregated private sector and major private industry divisions.
The series was developed because the traditional production worker hours and earnings estimates, produced since 1939 for war planning purposes in the goods-producing industries (construction and manufacturing), no longer captured the U.S. economy. Service-providing sectors were now adding the greater part of the new jobs and output in the globalized 21st century. The monthly estimates (average hourly length of the private sector workweek, average hourly private pay rates, and the average weekly private earnings) are samplebased, and have not yet been officially seasonally adjusted by the BLS. A total private level only estimate (no industry supersectors) is also being calculated for Connecticut’s six BLS-recognized labor market areas (LMAs). The new all employee private payroll data, after several years of availability, are starting to give some useful approximations of general workforce trends in the states. [ see more ]
Unemployment Insurance Covered Employment and Wages: 2011 Annual Review. August 2012 (418K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
The number of workers in Connecticut covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) laws increased by 1.0 percent during 2011, according to data derived through the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. The 2011 increase reversed the trend over the previous two years when annual average employment declined; down 1.2 percent in 2010 and 4.3 percent in 2009. Total private industry employment, accounting for 85.3 percent of the State’s employment total, increased by 1.6 percent, while government employment fell by 1.9 percent. [ see more ]
Connecticut Occupational Employment and Wages in 2012. August 2012 (418K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Lisa Castagna, DOL, Lisa.Castagna@ct.gov) & Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
The recently released statistics by the Office of Research in the Connecticut Department of Labor showed that retail salespersons (50,190) and cashiers (39,640) were the occupations with the highest employment in Connecticut. These two occupations combined made up nearly 6 percent of total Connecticut employment. [ see more ]

Connecticut Personal Income: Forecast for 2012. July 2010 (416K) Pg.3
By Daniel W. Kennedy, Ph.D., Senior Economist, DOL Daniel.Kennedy@ct.gov
On September 22, 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released state personal income for the second quarter of 2011. Connecticut’s (CT), current dollar, seasonally adjusted quarterly personal income (QPI) was $206.408 billion for the second quarter of 2011 (2011Q2). This was up by $2.522 billion, or 1.24% from 2011Q1, and up by $9.694 billion, or 4.93% from 2010Q2. The second quarter QPI number had been revised downward by $1.632 billion to $203.886 billion from the initial estimate of $205.518 billion published in the June 2011 release. [ see more ]

Covered Employment and Wages: 2010 Annual Review. August 2011 (412K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
Employment in Connecticut covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) decreased by 1.2 percent during 2010, according to preliminary figures that recently became available through the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. While 2010 recorded the second consecutive drop in annual average employment, the rate of decline was less than in 2009 when covered employment dropped by 4.3 percent. Total private industry employment, constituting 84.8 percent of the State’s employment total, decreased by 1.1 percent, while government employment fell by 1.7 percent. [ see more ]
A New Approach to Analyzing the Gender Wage Gap. April 2011 (185K) Pg.1-3,&5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
"Equal Pay Day” takes place on a Tuesday in April (April 12th this year), symbolizing how far into the workweek women must work to earn what men earned the previous week. The gender wage gap is calculated by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS), and is based on data collected through surveys. This article takes a new approach to understanding the gender wage gap using wage records from Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) program. The gender wage gap is analyzed by age group and in further detail for select industries, with interesting implications for policy makers. [ see more ]
Connecticut Employment and Wages: A 2009 Review. August 2010 (411K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Edward T. Doukas, Jr., Research Analyst, Department of Labor Edward.Doukas@ct.gov
The recessionary impacts on Connecticut’s economy that began being felt during the second half of 2008 took full effect in 2009. Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) covered employment dropped 4.3 percent during 2009. Records going back as far as 1969 show 2009’s percentage decline was the second largest only behind the 5 percent drop that occurred during 1991. Another indicator of the economic woes the State faced in 2009 was that the average annual wage of Connecticut workers ($57,755) decreased from the previous year ($58,334). A review of data dating back as far as 1969 shows that this was only the second time this anomaly has occurred. The only other year that annual pay per employee decreased was 2002. [ see more ]
CT Personal Income Pulls Through in First Quarter. July 2010 (416K) Pg.3
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, Department of Labor Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov & Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
Connecticut personal income growth at 0.6% trailed national personal income growth of 0.9% and New England income growth of 0.8% in the first quarter of 2010. Personal income of $193.037 billion (current dollars, quarterly annualized rate) was the second consecutive quarterly increase, after increasing 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2009, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Comparable and adjacent states like New York (0.9%), New Jersey (0.8%), Massachusetts (0.7%), Maryland (0.8%), Pennsylvania (0.8%) and Rhode Island (0.9%) all experienced slightly faster growth than Connecticut during the first quarter. Connecticut ranked 44th by state, in the lowest quintile, in this quarter’s personal income growth. [ see more ]
New Hours and Earnings Data Available. March 2010 (423K) Pg.3
By Lincoln S. Dyer, Economist, Department of Labor Lincoln.Dyer@ct.gov
After three years of exploratory development at the Office of Research, real-time monthly hours and earnings estimates for all private industries in the state and the six largest Connecticut labor market areas have been formally introduced. These newly available All Employee Hours and Earnings series from the employer payroll survey include the average hourly earnings, the average weekly hours employed, and the total average weekly earnings for most of Connecticut’s private sector nonfarm workforce. [ see more ]
2002 Connecticut Personal Income. June 2003, (220K) Pg.1-3.
A Primer on Personal Income. December 2001, (238K) Pg.1-3.
An Uneven Recovery, 1993-97. February 2000, (176K) Pg.1-4.
CONNECTICUT: A Net Exporter of Labor Services - Implications for Income Growth. November 2006, (652K) Pg.1-5.
Connecticut earnings: a look at income from current production. December 2003, (222K) Pg.1-3,5.
Connecticut Personal Income Continues to Climb in 2007 May 2008, (421K) Pg.1-2, 5.
CT Personal Income Grew 1.0 Percent in 2Q 2008. November 2008, (415K) Pg.5.
Connecticut Personal Income Growth Slows in 2008 May 2009, (403K) Pg.1.
Connecticut's wage rates among the highest in New England. June 1998, (236K) Pg.3-4.
Earnings by industry in the nineties. October 1997, (243K) Pg.1-4.
Minimum Wage Debate: The Latest Rounds. January 1999, (281K) Pg.3-4.
Our sources of income are changing. September 1996, (371K) Pg.1-3.
What does that job pay? September 1996, (371K) Pg.4.

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Job Polarization in Connecticut. December 2012 (185K) Pg.1,2 & 5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, DOL, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
In recent months, much has been written of the hollowing out of the middle class during the recovery. A New York Times article partially attributes this to longterm trends of automation and globalization that cause a polarization of labor to high and low wage employment. The same article extensively reports on the findings by The National Employment Law Project (NELP). Their work analyzed nationwide Current Population Survey (CPS) data and found middle wage jobs incurred a majority of job losses during the recession, while lowwage jobs experienced a majority of post-recession job growth. The report also found the share of high wage job losses and subsequent gains to be 19 and 20 percent. [ see more ]
Youth Employment Patterns Revisited. September 2012 (198K) Pg.1-5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
Last summer, the Connecticut Economic Digest published an article on youth employment in Connecticut. It used wage and Department of Motor Vehicles records to illustrate employment change by industry from the second to third quarter of 2007 and 2010. The article noted that youth employment declined at nearly three times the rate of overall Connecticut employment. This summer, the Census Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) dataset has been examined to provide a more detailed and longer-term analysis of labor market changes for youths in Connecticut. The analysis provides more detail as to how the recession has affected the state’s youngest segment of the labor force and analyzes long-term trends that help indicate the direction we are heading a full 3 years into the NBER-declared recovery. [ see more ]
Young People Aren't Fleeing and the Cities Aren't Dying. October 2011 (419K) Pg.1-3, 5
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, DOL, Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
Data from the U.S. Census Bureau refute the conventional wisdom that young people are leaving Connecticut in droves and the population of our cities is in decline. One example of popular perceptions comes from the “2011 Survey of Connecticut Business” released in early September by BlumShapiro and CBIA which reported “An overwhelming majority of respondents (85%) worry about the state’s slow population growth and out-migration of 21-to-45 year-olds.” Similarly, when population estimates from the 2009 American Community Survey (ACS) were released, a press release was headlined “Connecticut Still at Bottom in Attracting, Keeping 25-34-Year-Olds.” In fact, the 2010 U.S. Census confirms that Ct’s population is aging, but that the situation is not as dire or dramatic as perceptions would suggest. [ see more ]
Youth Employment in Connecticut. July 2011 (419K) Pg.3
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
For many, summer is a time for relaxation. The season is typified by sunny weather, family vacations, barbeques and trips to the beach. However, the season also represents a young workers initiation into the labor force. Be it work as a camp counselor, lifeguard, salesperson or waitress, those summer jobs teach youths valuable skills they will carry with them onto enhanced employment opportunities later in life. Unfortunately, for a growing number of American youths, these jobs are increasingly hard to find. [ see more ]
Measures of Labor Underutilization. February 2010 (401K) Pg.3.
By Salvatore DiPillo, Associate Research Analyst, Department of Labor, Salvatore.DiPillo@ct.gov
In the November 2009 issue of the Digest we began publishing for Connecticut, in addition to the official unemployment rate, the most comprehensive measure of labor underutilization. Referred to as the “U-6” by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) which sets the definition of the labor force, employment and unemployment and the methodologies for measuring these, it is just one of six measures of unemployment for the nation and the states. [ see more ]
Expanded Current Population Survey and Its Effect on Labor Force Data Estimates. August 2001, (211K) Pg.4.
Improvements Coming to Labor Force Estimates. December 2004, (826K) Pg.2-5.
Introducing an Alternative Measure of Labor Underutilization in Connecticut. November 2009 (402K) Pg.5.
Norwich area has greatest labor force growth. October 2004, (335K) Pg.1,5.
Stamford tops in labor force and establishments. February 2006, (611K) Pg.1-3.

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Danbury Labor Market Area Profiled. February 2011 (402K) Pg.1-3 & 5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
A labor market area is defined as an economically integrated geographic area within which individuals can reside and find employment within a reasonable distance or can readily change employment without changing their place of residence. Connecticut has nine labor market areas, named for the major cities that serve as their hubs. The areas are Bridgeport-Stamford, Danbury, Enfield, Hartford, New Haven, Norwich-New London, Torrington, Waterbury and Willimantic-Danielson.[ see more ]
The Geography of Connecticut Labor Market Dynamics. December 2010 (550K) Pg.1-3
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor, Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
The labor market is dynamic. Even during the worst months of the recession, when nationally jobs on net were declining by approximately 800,000 per month, there were still approximately four million new hires. Of course, there were even more separations, which is why total employment declined on net – but the number of separations was actually lower during the recession than during the previous period of job growth. In times of strong growth, approximately five million workers lose or leave their jobs every month. [ see more ]
Changes in Labor Market Areas. December 2004, (826K) Pg.2-5.
Connecticut’s Labor Market Dynamics: Clues From KLEMS? December 2009 (419K) Pg.1-3, 5.
Connecticut's Gold Coast (Stamford LMA) is shining. March 1998, (231K) Pg.2-3.
Danbury Labor Market Area thriving. August 1997, (180K) Pg.1-3.
Danielson Area: On A Fast Recovery Track. November 1998, (287K) Pg.2.
Hartford Area employment-signs of growth? September 1997, (170K) Pg.3-4.
Job outlook improving for New Haven Area. June 1997, (177K) Pg.4.
Major Northeast Gaming Labor Markets Reviewed May 2009, (403K) Pg.2.
Reconstructing Bridgeport. July 1998, (397K) Pg.1-4.
Southeastern Connecticut economic secrets revealed. May 1997, (328K) Pg.1-4.
Torrington Area: A diamond in the rough, The. September 1998, (272K) Pg.1-2.
Transformation of the Waterbury Area, The. November 1997, (227K) Pg.1-2, 4.

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Ask the Digest

What is the difference between "nonfarm employment" and the "employed"? July 2001, (215K) Pg.5.
What are Business Cycles? September 2001, (233K) Pg.5.
Making Sense of Census July 2002, (239K) Pg.1-3.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

1998 CPI Revision, The. May 1998, (257K) Pg.2.
A brief look at the Consumer Price Index. December 1996, (287K) Pg.4.

Defense Spending

Connecticut's Defense-Related Industry: Spending, Employment, and Dependency September 2011 (421K) Pg.1-3, 5.
By Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist, DECD, Mark.Prisloe@ct.gov
This article examines how Connecticut’s defense industry has fared in recent years and how much the overall state economy depends on it. When last reported in this publication (August 1996 and February 2005), from 1985 to 1995 U.S. federal defense procurement had dropped precipitously by 43% from $179 billion in 1985 to $101 billion in 1995. It was $327.5 billion in federal fiscal year (FFY) 2009. This was in part attributable to the “peace dividend” following the end of the Cold War. In Connecticut defense procurement also dropped significantly over the same period by 64%, from $7.1 billion to $2.5 billion (in fixed 1992 dollars). This trend has been thoroughly reversed by one of the largest surges in national security spending in the state’s history. [ see more ]
Defense spending down. August 1996, (323K) Pg.1-3.

Education and Training

Does Education Matter? May 2013 (419K) Pg.1,2 & 5.
By Sarah York, Economist, Department of Labor
With the varied reports on the state of the economy recently, many people are finding it difficult to tell which direction the economy is headed. The uncertainty leads many questioning their perceived notion on how to become successful in a chosen career. With increased attention on the costs of higher education coupled with the meek jobs reports, the decision to attend college may not seem worth it. However, an analysis of the most recent data available for Connecticut suggests that there is still a significant benefit to pursue higher education. [ read more ]
Even in Tough Times, Education Improves Chances in Labor Market. July 2012 (419K) Pg.3-4.
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor, Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
During graduation season, there were a number of stories in the news about the difficulty that many new college graduates are having finding employment, particularly high paying employment within a field related to their course of study. In addition, announcements by many institutions of tuition and fee increases and the debates in Washington about the interest rate changed on student loans generated media attention on the high cost of higher education. Implicit in some of this coverage is the idea that given the high cost of going to college, and the shortterm difficulty of some college graduates in the labor market, a college education might not be “worth it.” While “individual results may vary” as they say (in fact they do vary significantly), on average additional education is still associated with increased employment and higher long term earnings prospects. [ see more ]
Connecticut's School-to-Career System. November 1999, (194K) Pg.4.
Educating Connecticut. November 2008, (415K) Pg.1-3.
High school graduates profiled. February 1997, (303K) Pg.1-2, 4.
Occupational Information System (OIS). January 1997, (315K) Pg.4.

Economic Indicators

A Look at Phil Fed’s Coincident and Leading Indexes. April 2013 (423K) Pg.4
By Jungmin Charles Joo, Associate Research Analyst, DOL, Jungmin.Joo@ct.gov
State Coincident Indexes. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states and the nation, and it combines four state-level indicators, nonfarm payroll employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary disbursements deflated by the consumer price index (U.S. city average) to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic. The trend for each state’s index is set to the trend of its gross domestic product (GDP), so longterm growth in the state’s index matches long-term growth in its GDP. [ see more ]
Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes Recalibrated for the New Millenium. March 2001, (226K) Pg.6-7.
Introducing the Connecticut Manufacturing Production Index. June 1999, (311K) Pg.1-2.
New auto registrations: what's really under the hood? February 1998, (238K) Pg.3-4.
Unmasking the Unemployment Rate. February 2003, (254K) Pg.1,3.

Employment Cost Index (ECI)

A look at the Employment Cost Index. October 1996, (305K) Pg.4.

Green Jobs

It's Not Easy Defining Green (with apologies to Kermit the Frog). September 2010 (408K) Pg.1-3,& 5
By Patrick J. Flaherty, Economist, Department of Labor Patrick.Flaherty@ct.gov
Concern about the environment, unstable world energy markets, a desire to find new and creative ways to grow the economy, and significant public investment have kept interest high in the definition of “green jobs.” Approximately $60 billion of the $787 billion stimulus package passed by Congress in 2009 was devoted to green activities. Data available on the Governor’s website show over $200 million in grants to state agencies and another $200 million in tax credits and grants to other entities in Connecticut in the areas of energy and the environment from the stimulus legislation. [ see more ]
How "Green" is Connecticut's Economy? December 2008, (415K) Pg.1-3,5.

Labor Surplus Areas

Labor surplus areas offer advantages to businesses. December 1997, (249K) Pg.4.

Job Fairs

Job Fairs: for employers and job seekers. September 1998, (272K) Pg.3-4.

North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)

NAICS - A New Look at Connecticut Industry. January 2000, (176K) Pg.3-4.
NAICS Implementation is Underway. February 2002, (207K) Pg.5.
Nonfarm Employment Data under NAICS. December 2002, (238K) Pg.1-2.
North American Industry Classification System. November 1996, (300K) Pg.4.

Seasonal Adjustment

Economic data: to adjust or not to adjust? November 1996, (300K) Pg.1-3.

Small Business

Is Connecticut a Small Business State? May 2012 (329K) Pg.1-5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
A widely held belief is small businesses create most of the new jobs. Given the recent recession and slow recovery, there is a lot of interest in job creation and policies to promote economic growth. Using a newly available data set from the U.S. Census, this article explores the notion of job creation by both firm age and firm size, and seeks to provide some clarity on the underlying dynamics of Connecticut’s labor market.
The Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) produced by the U.S. Census Bureau is compiled using the Census Bureau’s Business Register. The Business Register covers establishments of all domestic businesses including the self-employed, but excluding private households and governments. The BDS dataset tabulates data at the establishment level (an establishment is a fixed physical location where economic activity takes place). Establishments all belong to firms (a firm may be the parent of one establishment or multiple establishments). When analyzing BDS data for Connecticut it is important to note that though the establishments are all based within Connecticut, parent firms for Connecticut’s establishments can be located anywhere in the nation. [ see more ]
Connecticut Nonemployer Businesses Exceed Quarter Million. September 2007, (634K) Pg.3.
Small Business Advisory Council continues activities. August 1997, (180K) Pg.4.

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Pharmacist Employment Outlook Delivers a Dose of Brightness. October 2010 (408K) Pg.1-2
By Sarah York, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Sarah.York@ct.gov
Pharmacists have long played an important role in the healthcare industry. While physicians diagnose a patient’s ailments and prescribe medicine to treat it, pharmacists are responsible for distributing that medicine in a safe and accurate manner. As their careers evolve, pharmacists have been expanding their duties. With the increases in job responsibilities and the strong reliance the healthcare industry has on pharmacists, the job outlook remains strong. [ see more ]
Accountants and Auditors. December 2002, (238K) Pg.4.
Automotive Service Technicians And Mechanics. January 2006, (557K) Pg.1-3.
Carpenters January 2002, (226K) Pg.5.
Chefs and Head Cooks. October 2006, (652K) Pg.1-4.
Computer Engineers January 2001, (249K) Pg.5.
Computer Support Specialists. July 2003, (192K) Pg.4.
Construction managers October 2007, (574K) Pg.3.
Correctional Officers. October 2001, (238K) Pg.5.
Firefighters. April 2006, (495K) Pg.5.
Home Health Aides May 2002, (203K) Pg.6.
Librarians. September 2002, (268K) Pg.5.
Mechanical Engineers. February 2006, (611K) Pg.5.
Paralegals and Legal Assistants. November 2002, (238K) Pg.5.
Physical Therapists. February 2003, (254K) Pg.5.
Public Relations Specialists. December 2006, (512K) Pg.1-2.
Put Your Pet Passion To Work. July 2008, (415K) Pg.1-2, 5.
Real estate brokers and sales agents. September 2006, (563K) Pg.1-4.
Recreation and Fitness Workers. January 2005, (661K) Pg.2-5.
Registered Nurses. June 2001, (375K) Pg.5.
Secondary School Teachers. December 2001, (238K) Pg.4.
Security Guards. January 2003, (248K) Pg.5.
Social and Human Service Assistants. March 2003, (266K) Pg.5.
Systems Analyst July 2002, (239K) Pg.4.
Veterinarians Jul 2009, (416K) Pg.1.

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A Profile of Mansfield, Connecticut. May 2013 (342K) Pg.3 & 4
By Matthew Krzyzek, Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
Situated 23 miles from Hartford in the rolling countryside of eastern Connecticut, Mansfield has grown from a quaint farming community to become the home of a major university. The town was incorporated in 1702 by settlers from nearby Norwich and encompasses about 45 square miles. Early industries included agriculture and textile manufacturing. The town led the U.S. in silk production in the early 19th century. The 1881 formation of the Storrs Agricultural School that later became the University of Connecticut established education as a primary industry for the town. A majority of Mansfield’s employment occurs in and around the UConn campus in the Storrs section of town and the recent Storrs Center commercial development seeks to further invigorate the local economy. [ see more ]

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Youth Employment Patterns Revisited. September 2012 (198K) Pg.1-5
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
Last summer, the Connecticut Economic Digest published an article on youth employment in Connecticut. It used wage and Department of Motor Vehicles records to illustrate employment change by industry from the second to third quarter of 2007 and 2010. The article noted that youth employment declined at nearly three times the rate of overall Connecticut employment. This summer, the Census Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) dataset has been examined to provide a more detailed and longer-term analysis of labor market changes for youths in Connecticut. The analysis provides more detail as to how the recession has affected the state’s youngest segment of the labor force and analyzes long-term trends that help indicate the direction we are heading a full 3 years into the NBER-declared recovery. [ see more ]
Youth Employment in Connecticut. July 2011 (419K) Pg.3
By Matthew Krzyzek, CCT Economist, Department of Labor, Matthew.Krzyzek@ct.gov
For many, summer is a time for relaxation. The season is typified by sunny weather, family vacations, barbeques and trips to the beach. However, the season also represents a young workers initiation into the labor force. Be it work as a camp counselor, lifeguard, salesperson or waitress, those summer jobs teach youths valuable skills they will carry with them onto enhanced employment opportunities later in life. Unfortunately, for a growing number of American youths, these jobs are increasingly hard to find. [ see more ]
A New Approach to Analyzing the Gender Wage Gap. April 2011 (185K) Pg.1-3,&5
By Manisha Srivastava, Economist, Department of Labor, Manisha.Srivastava@ct.gov
"Equal Pay Day” takes place on a Tuesday in April (April 12th this year), symbolizing how far into the workweek women must work to earn what men earned the previous week. The gender wage gap is calculated by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS), and is based on data collected through surveys. This article takes a new approach to understanding the gender wage gap using wage records from Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) program. The gender wage gap is analyzed by age group and in further detail for select industries, with interesting implications for policy makers. [ see more ]
A Closer Look at Worker Displacement. July 2000, (176K) Pg.3-4.
Baby Boomers - Drivers of Change. February 1999, (429K) Pg.1,4.
Fatal Work Injuries in 2007. October 2008, (410K) Pg.1-3.
Got Data? Information for Workforce Investment Planning - 2005. December 2005, (551K) Pg.5.
Mass Layoffs and the Business Cycle September 2009, (410K) Pg.1.
Mass Layoff Trends in Connecticut. September 2002, (268K) Pg.2.
Multiple Jobholding Trends. October 2001, (238K) Pg.1-3.
Older Workers and Their Earnings after a Mass Layoff December 2007, (569K) Pg.1-2, 5.
Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in 2000. May 2002, (203K) Pg.1-3.
Profiles of the Connecticut Workforce. July 2003, (192K) Pg.1-3.
Profiles of the workforce, 1986 and 1996. August 1998, (177K) Pg.1-4.
Steady Habits Uncovered in CT Private Worksite Data January 2008, (620K) Pg.1-2.
Union Membership Trends. April 2002, (228K) Pg.1-3.

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