Connecticut Department of Labor's Office of Research

Labor Market Information - State of Connecticut Labor Situation

State of Connecticut Labor Situation

Last Updated: July 19, 2018

	Nonfarm jobs increase by 6,100 in June; unemployment rate at 4.4%
	WETHERSFIELD, July 19, 2018 - Preliminary Connecticut nonfarm job estimates from the business payroll survey administered by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) show the state grew 6,100 net jobs (0.4%) in June 2018, to a level of 1,698,800, seasonally adjusted. Over the year, nonagricultural employment in the state grew by 14,900 jobs (0.9%). The May 2018 originally-released job gain of 4,100 was revised up by 2,000 to a gain of 6,100 over the month. The number of the state's unemployed residents was estimated at 83,975 seasonally adjusted, down 918 from May. As a result, Connecticut's June unemployment rate declined by one-tenth of a point to 4.4%, seasonally adjusted. Resident employment estimates include the self-employed and residents working out of state and are determined separately from the nonfarm payroll job estimates above. "June's increase of 6,100 jobs overcame the entire decline we saw in March and April," said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. "Our three month average job growth has once again turned positive. The seasonally adjusted year over yearl job gain of nearly 15,000 jobs is very encouraging, but this number can be volatile. Our average annual gain for the last 12 months is 5,300, still ahead of last year's pace. Construction and manufacturing are now the fastest growing sectors in the state's labor market – a very good sign."

Nonfarm Jobs Detail (business establishment survey)

Private Sector grew by 7,600 (0.5%) to 1,470,700 jobs over the month in June, and grew by 19,400 (1.3%) seasonally-adjusted jobs over the year. The Government supersector lost 1,500 positions in June to a total of 228,100, with over-the-year losses at -4,500 or -1.9%. The Government supersector includes all federal, state and local employment, including public higher education and Native American casino employment located on tribal land.

Seven of the ten major industry supersectors gained employment in June, while three declined. The Leisure and Hospitality supersector led growing industries with 2,400 net new jobs (1.5%, 158,500 total jobs) in June while Educational and Health Services (0.6%, 341,100) was next, adding 1,900 new positions. Construction and Mining grew by 1,200 (2.0%, 61,300) and Professional and Business Services added 1,100 (0.5%, 222,300). Manufacturing grew by 900 (0.6%, 164,000) in June while Financial Activities grew by 400 (0.3%, 127,900). Finally, the Information supersector grew by 200 jobs (0.7%, 30,900) last month.

In addition to the Government supersector mentioned above, the Other Services supersector dropped 400 jobs (-0.6%, 65,200) in June, while Trade, Transportation & Utilities lost 100 positions (-0.0%, 299,500).

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment

		Year to Year				Month to Month				Previous Three Months
		Jun 2018	Jun 2017	Change	Rate %	Jun 2018	May 2018	Change	Rate %	Apr 2018	Mar 2018	Feb 2018
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	State of Connecticut Employment
	Connecticut Nonfarm Employment	1,698,800	1,683,900	14,900	0.9%	1,698,800	1,692,700	6,100	0.4%	1,686,600	1,688,500	1,692,000
	Private Sector	1,470,700	1,451,300	19,400	1.3%	1,470,700	1,463,100	7,600	0.5%	1,456,500	1,458,200	1,461,500

Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	Goods Producing Industries
	Construction	60,700	58,600	2,100	3.6%	60,700	59,500	1,200	2.0%	59,200	59,400	58,900

	Manufacturing	164,000	159,100	4,900	3.1%	164,000	163,100	900	0.6%	162,800	162,600	162,800
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	Service Providing Industries
	Trade, Transportation and Utilities	299,500	297,800	1,700	0.6%	299,500	299,600	-100	-0.0%	297,600	298,700	300,200

	Information	30,900	31,700	-800	-2.5%	30,900	30,700	200	0.7%	30,600	30,700	30,600

	Financial Activities	127,900	128,000	-100	-0.1%	127,900	127,500	400	0.3%	127,600	128,400	128,900

	Professional and Business Services	222,300	218,300	4,000	1.8%	222,300	221,200	1,100	0.5%	220,500	221,100	220,500

	Educational and Health Services	341,100	334,900	6,200	1.9%	341,100	339,200	1,900	0.6%	338,800	338,500	338,500

	Leisure and Hospitality	158,500	157,100	1,400	0.9%	158,500	156,100	2,400	1.5%	154,500	153,800	155,200

	Other Services	65,200	65,200	0	0.0%	65,200	65,600	-400	-0.6%	64,400	64,400	65,300

	Government	228,100	232,600	-4,500	-1.9%	228,100	229,600	-1,500	-0.7%	230,100	230,300	230,500
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	United States Employment
	United States Nonfarm Employment	148,912,000	146,538,000	2,374,000	1.6%	148,912,000	148,699,000	213,000	0.1%	148,439,000	148,280,000	148,125,000

Connecticut has now recovered 87.8% (104,600 jobs) of the 1,9,100 seasonally adjusted jobs lost in the "Great Recession" (3/08-2/10). The job recovery is into its 100th month and the state needs an additional 14,500 net new jobs to reach an overall nonfarm employment expansion. The state's Private Sector has now recovered 111.2% (124,200) of the private sector jobs lost in that same employment downturn.

Connecticut Labor Market Areas (LMAs): Four of the six LMAs that are seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics saw job increases in June 2018 while the Waterbury LMA was unchanged. The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA led gainers with 2,800 net new positions (0.5%, 579,900). The Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA was next with 2,300 new jobs (0.6%, 407,900) and the Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA added 600 jobs, (0.5%, 131,600) and the Danbury LMA saw a small increase of 100 jobs (0.1%, 79,300) while the New Haven LMA saw a decline of 400 jobs over the month (-0.1%, 285,300).

	June	May	April	March	June	Over Month		Over Year
Seasonally Adjusted data	2018 P	2018 R	2018	2018	2017	Change	Rate	Change	Rate
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk	407,900	405,600	406,200	406,700	408,000	2,300	0.6%	-100	0.0%
Danbury	79,300	79,200	78,900	79,000	78,200	100	0.1%	1,100	1.4%
Hartford	579,900	577,100	575,700	577,500	572,600	2,800	0.5%	7,300	1.3%
New Haven	285,300	285,700	285,300	283,200	284,800	-400	-0.1%	500	0.2%
Norwich-New London-Westerly, RI	131,600	131,000	130,900	130,700	130,600	600	0.5%	1,000	0.8%
Waterbury	66,500	66,500	66,300	66,500	67,300	0	0.0%	-800	-1.2%
Not Seasonally Adjusted data (Non-Classified Areas, State estimated not BLS)
Enfield	45,300	45,400	45,600	44,800	45,200	-100	-0.2%	100	0.2%
Torrington-Northwest	33,400	32,900	31,900	31,600	33,500	500	1.5%	-100	-0.3%
Danielson-Northeast	27,200	27,100	27,000	26,600	27,400	100	0.4%	-200	-0.7%

Note: Six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently from the statewide data by the BLS and cover more than 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. Thus, estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total.

Hours and Earnings: The Private Sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 33.8 hours in June 2018, up two-tenths of an hour from the same month a year ago (0.6%). Average hourly earnings at $31.31, not seasonally adjusted, were up $0.53 (1.7%) from the June 2017 estimate ($30.78). The resultant average Private Sector weekly pay amounted to $1,058.28, up $24.07 from a year ago (2.3%).

	AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS				AVG WEEKLY HOURS				AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
	Jun		CHG	May	Jun		CHG	May	Jun		CHG	May
(Not seasonally adjusted)	2018	2017	Y/Y	2018	2018	2017	Y/Y	2018	2018	2017	Y/Y	2018
PRODUCTION WORKER
MANUFACTURING	$1,025.71	$1,052.50	-$26.79	$1,052.06	40.8	42.1	-1.3	41.0	$25.14	$25.00	$0.14	$25.66
DURABLE GOODS	1,105.32	1,069.34	35.98	1,127.76	41.9	42.3	-0.4	41.8	26.38	25.28	1.10	26.98
NON-DUR. GOODS	762.78	988.39	-225.61	803.92	37.1	41.2	-4.1	38.3	20.56	23.99	-3.43	20.99
CONSTRUCTION	1,217.19	1,156.99	60.20	1,188.62	40.6	39.8	0.8	39.7	29.98	29.07	0.91	29.94

ALL EMPLOYEES
STATEWIDE
TOTAL PRIVATE	1,058.28	1,034.21	24.07	1,064.12	33.8	33.6	0.2	33.9	31.31	30.78	0.53	31.39
GOODS PRODUCING	1,262.61	1,219.53	43.08	1,273.41	38.6	39.1	-0.5	38.6	32.71	31.19	1.52	32.99
Construction	1,173.70	1,205.51	-31.81	1,161.39	38.8	38.9	-0.1	38.7	30.25	30.99	-0.74	30.01
Manufacturing	1,327.99	1,226.87	101.12	1,354.72	39.5	39.5	0.0	39.6	33.62	31.06	2.56	34.21
SERVICE PROVIDING	1,020.23	1,000.49	19.73	1,024.65	32.9	32.6	0.3	33.0	31.01	30.69	0.32	31.05
Trade, Transp., Utilities	881.45	851.11	30.35	862.92	33.3	32.3	1.0	33.1	26.47	26.35	0.12	26.07
Financial Activities	1,709.49	1,690.40	19.08	1,746.48	36.7	36.7	0.0	36.9	46.58	46.06	0.52	47.33
Prof. & Business Serv.	1,210.19	1,266.96	-56.77	1,232.89	34.4	35.8	-1.4	34.7	35.18	35.39	-0.21	35.53
Education & Health Ser.	952.88	922.49	30.40	944.42	32.4	32.3	0.1	32.6	29.41	28.56	0.85	28.97
Leisure & Hospitality	462.17	433.32	28.84	480.71	26.2	25.4	0.8	26.5	17.64	17.06	0.58	18.14
Other Services	787.43	799.10	-11.67	792.53	31.7	32.3	-0.6	31.6	24.84	24.74	0.10	25.08

LABOR MARKET AREAS: TOTAL PRIVATE
Bridgeport-Stamford	1,148.50	1,129.30	19.20	1,162.72	33.7	33.6	0.1	33.8	34.08	33.61	0.47	34.40
Danbury	985.90	964.46	21.44	973.99	34.4	33.2	1.2	34.6	28.66	29.05	-0.39	28.15
Hartford	1,100.00	1,062.61	37.39	1,109.40	34.3	34.3	0.0	34.4	32.07	30.98	1.09	32.25
New Haven	1,010.66	994.03	16.62	1,011.03	33.3	32.4	0.9	33.5	30.35	30.68	-0.33	30.18
Norwich-New London	888.08	802.31	85.78	894.71	32.4	31.5	0.9	32.3	27.41	25.47	1.94	27.70
Waterbury	891.03	829.38	61.64	872.78	33.7	34.4	-0.7	34.2	26.44	24.11	2.33	25.52

Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the "Hours and Earnings" data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses.

	The 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in June 2018 was 2.9%.

State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate

The June 2018 unemployment rate for Connecticut is estimated at 4.4% (seasonally adjusted), down one-tenth of a point from May 2018 and down three-tenths of a percentage point from a year ago when it was 4.7%. The US jobless rate in June 2018 was 4.0%, up two-tenths of a point from May 2018.

Month	2011			2012			2013			2014			2015			2016			2017			2018
Month	CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.
Jan	9.2	9.1	-0.1	8.2	8.3	0.1	8.2	8.0	-0.2	7.2	6.6	-0.6	6.1	5.7	-0.4	5.5	4.9	-0.6	4.9	4.8	-0.1	4.5	4.1	-0.4
Feb	9.2	9.0	-0.2	8.2	8.3	0.1	8.1	7.7	-0.4	7.0	6.7	-0.3	6.0	5.5	-0.5	5.5	4.9	-0.6	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.6	4.1	-0.5
Mar	9.2	9.0	-0.2	8.3	8.2	-0.1	8.1	7.5	-0.6	6.9	6.7	-0.2	5.9	5.5	-0.4	5.4	5.0	-0.4	4.9	4.5	-0.4	4.5	4.1	-0.4
Apr	9.1	9.1	0.0	8.3	8.2	-0.1	8.0	7.6	-0.4	6.8	6.3	-0.5	5.8	5.4	-0.4	5.3	5.0	-0.3	4.8	4.4	-0.4	4.5	3.9	-0.6
May	9.0	9.0	0.0	8.4	8.2	-0.2	7.9	7.5	-0.4	6.7	6.3	-0.4	5.7	5.5	-0.2	5.3	4.7	-0.6	4.7	4.3	-0.4	4.5	3.8	-0.7
Jun	8.9	9.1	0.2	8.5	8.2	-0.3	7.9	7.5	-0.4	6.6	6.1	-0.5	5.7	5.3	-0.4	5.2	4.9	-0.3	4.7	4.3	-0.4	4.4	4.0	-0.4
Jul	8.8	9.0	0.2	8.5	8.2	-0.3	7.8	7.3	-0.5	6.5	6.2	-0.3	5.6	5.2	-0.4	5.1	4.9	-0.2	4.6	4.3	-0.3
Aug	8.7	9.0	0.3	8.5	8.1	-0.4	7.8	7.2	-0.6	6.5	6.2	-0.3	5.6	5.1	-0.5	5.0	4.9	-0.1	4.5	4.4	-0.1
Sep	8.6	9.0	0.4	8.4	7.8	-0.6	7.7	7.2	-0.5	6.4	5.9	-0.5	5.6	5.0	-0.6	5.0	5.0	0.0	4.5	4.2	-0.3
Oct	8.5	8.8	0.3	8.4	7.8	-0.6	7.5	7.2	-0.3	6.3	5.7	-0.6	5.6	5.0	-0.6	4.9	4.9	0.0	4.5	4.1	-0.4
Nov	8.4	8.6	0.2	8.3	7.7	-0.6	7.4	6.9	-0.5	6.3	5.8	-0.5	5.6	5.0	-0.6	4.9	4.6	-0.3	4.5	4.1	-0.4
Dec	8.3	8.5	0.2	8.2	7.9	-0.3	7.3	6.7	-0.6	6.2	5.6	-0.6	5.6	5.0	-0.6	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.5	4.1	-0.4

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate and labor force estimates are based on a household survey, and measure the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Job and employment estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month's value.

Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed

Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model using the CPS – Current Population Survey residential data), the number of Connecticut unemployed residents, seasonally adjusted, was down 900 from May at 84,000 in June. Over the year, the number of the state's jobless residents declined by 5,600 (-6.3%). The state's labor force decreased by 1,900 (-0.1%) over the month, and is down over the year (-23,300, -1.2%).

June 2018 seasonally-adjusted average weekly initial unemployment claims for first-time filers in Connecticut grew by 69 claimants (2.2%) to 3,211 from May 2018, and were lower by 609 claims (-15.9%) from the June 2017 level of 3,820.

Month	2012			2013			2014			2015			2016			2017			2018
Month	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.
Jan	1,904.1	1,748.6	156.9	1,866.1	1,716.9	152.2	1,873.2	1,733.0	134.5	1,910.5	1,792.1	116.4	1,890.4	1,783.6	104.2	1,923.0	1,826.6	93.9	1,909.9	1,823.2	86.8
Feb	1,901.1	1,747.1	156.6	1,862.4	1,713.9	151.0	1,876.9	1,738.6	132.3	1,909.5	1,794.1	114.5	1,892.5	1,786.1	103.3	1,925.1	1,829.1	94.0	1,908.2	1,821.2	86.9
Mar	1,897.8	1,744.5	157.0	1,860.3	1,711.4	149.9	1,880.5	1,744.6	130.2	1,907.2	1,794.9	112.6	1,894.9	1,789.1	102.2	1,925.8	1,831.1	93.7	1,904.7	1,818.4	86.3
Apr	1,894.3	1,740.8	158.0	1,860.3	1,710.4	148.9	1,883.9	1,750.3	128.3	1,903.9	1,794.6	110.7	1,897.6	1,792.6	101.1	1,925.0	1,832.2	92.7	1,901.0	1,815.2	85.8
May	1,890.8	1,736.3	159.2	1,861.7	1,711.5	147.9	1,887.0	1,755.6	126.4	1,899.8	1,793.2	108.8	1,900.6	1,796.4	100.1	1,922.9	1,832.3	91.2	1,898.5	1,813.6	84.9
Jun	1,887.7	1,731.6	160.2	1,863.4	1,713.8	147.0	1,890.5	1,760.5	124.9	1,895.3	1,791.0	107.1	1,903.9	1,800.6	99.0	1,919.9	1,831.6	89.6	1,896.6	1,812.6	84.0
Jul	1,885.2	1,727.5	160.4	1,864.6	1,716.5	146.0	1,894.4	1,765.6	123.7	1,891.2	1,788.2	105.8	1,906.9	1,804.9	97.6	1,917.0	1,830.3	88.2
Aug	1,883.2	1,724.8	159.9	1,865.0	1,718.7	144.6	1,898.6	1,770.7	122.8	1,888.1	1,785.4	105.1	1,909.7	1,809.3	96.1	1,914.3	1,828.8	87.0
Sep	1,881.3	1,723.3	158.7	1,865.0	1,720.3	142.9	1,902.7	1,775.8	121.9	1,886.3	1,783.0	104.9	1,912.2	1,813.6	94.8	1,912.8	1,827.3	86.4
Oct	1,878.8	1,722.5	157.3	1,865.5	1,722.2	140.8	1,906.2	1,780.7	120.9	1,885.9	1,781.4	104.9	1,914.6	1,817.4	93.9	1,912.0	1,826.4	86.1
Nov	1,875.2	1,721.5	155.5	1,867.1	1,724.7	138.8	1,908.7	1,785.3	119.6	1,886.8	1,780.9	105.0	1,917.2	1,820.7	93.5	1,912.3	1,826.0	86.2
Dec	1,870.7	1,719.6	153.8	1,869.7	1,728.3	136.7	1,910.2	1,789.1	118.1	1,888.5	1,781.8	104.8	1,920.2	1,823.7	93.5	1,912.6	1,826.0	86.4


	The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate and labor force estimates are based on a household survey, and measure the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Job and employment estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month's value.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, August 16, 2018 (July 2018 data)


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