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Labor Market Information - State of Connecticut Labor Situation
State of Connecticut Labor Situation Last Updated: November 17, 2016
Nonfarm jobs fall 7,200 in October; unemployment rate declines to 5.1%. Connecticut Labor Situation - October 2016 PDF
WETHERSFIELD, November 17, 2016 - Preliminary Connecticut nonfarm job estimates from the business survey administered by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) show the state shed 7,200 jobs in October 2016 to a level of 1,676,400, seasonally adjusted. Over the year, nonagricultural employment in the state has grown by approximately 3,200 jobs (0.2%). September's originally released job decline of 5,200 was revised down further to a loss of 6,600. Despite the sharp decline in payroll jobs, Connecticut's unemployment rate for October fell three tenths of a point to 5.1%, which is now three tenths of a point lower than it was a year ago. The number of the state's unemployed declined by 5,300 (-5.1%) in October.

“Connecticut's two monthly measures of labor market health continue to send mixed signals. Payroll job counts have declined for four consecutive months, indicating a significant slowing of recent job growth trends,” said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. “However, the residential employment survey and model continue to show increasing employment, decreasing unemployment and a significant drop in the unemployment rate. We will have to await further data to see which direction our labor markets are headed.”

Nonfarm Jobs Detail (business establishment survey)

Connecticut Nonfarm Employment...see more Unemployment Rates...see more New UI Claims...see more

October 2016 preliminary seasonally adjusted nonfarm job estimates show a decline of 7,200 jobs (-0.4%) over the month. Four of the of the ten major industry supersectors saw job gains. Over the last twelve months, the state has increased nonagricultural employment by 3,200 positions (0.2%) with seven of the ten measured supersectors continuing to show annual gains.

Private Sector fell by 4,200 (-0.3%, 1,440,700 jobs) in October but remains up by 5,000 jobs (0.3%) over the year. The Government supersector lost 3,000 jobs (-1.3%, 235,700) last month and is now down over the year (-1,800, -0.8%).

Other Services (1,100, 1.7%, 66,000 positions) added the most jobs last month. Construction and Mining was next (800, 1.4%, 57,800), while Manufacturing contributed 600 net new jobs (0.4%, 159,800) and remains up over the year. Financial Activities grew by 200 (0.3%, 132,100).

On the down side, the Government supersector (-3,000, -1.3%, 235,700) saw another sharp loss. Professional and Business Services was next (-2,600, -1.2%, 216,700). Private Education and Health Services saw a loss of 1,700 (-0.5%, 327,500 jobs) with both education (-1,100, -1.7%, 63,800) and health (-600, -0.2%, 263,700) contributing. Leisure and Hospitality dropped jobs for the second month in a row (-1,400, -0.9%, 152,200 jobs) after healthy summer gains. Trade, Transportation & Utilities shed 900 jobs (-0.3%, 295,700) based entirely on weakness in the retail sector (-1,700, -0.9%). Small losses were observed in the Information supersector (-300, -0.9%, 32,900 jobs).

The October 2016 seasonally adjusted Average Weekly Initial unemployment Claims for first-time filers in Connecticut declined by 272 claimants (-6.6%) to 3,854 from September 2016, and were higher by 131 claims (3.5%) from the October 2015 level of 3,723.

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment
Year to Year Month to Month Previous Three Months
Oct 2016 Oct 2015 Change Rate % Oct 2016 Sep 2016 Change Rate % Aug 2016 Jul 2016 Jun 2016
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data State of Connecticut Employment
go to Connecticut nonfarm employment data table Connecticut Nonfarm Employment 1,676,400 1,673,200 3,200 0.2% 1,676,400 1,683,600 -7,200 -0.4% 1,690,200 1,690,500 1,691,300
go to Private Sector sector data table Private Sector 1,440,700 1,435,700 5,000 0.3% 1,440,700 1,444,900 -4,200 -0.3% 1,449,100 1,451,200 1,450,700
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Goods Producing Industries
go to Construction sector data table Construction 57,200 57,000 200 0.4% 57,200 56,400 800 1.4% 56,300 57,600 58,600
go to Manufacturing sector data table Manufacturing 159,800 158,400 1,400 0.9% 159,800 159,200 600 0.4% 159,800 160,300 159,600
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Service Providing Industries
go to Transportation and Public Utilities sector data table Transportation and Public Utilities 295,700 297,200 -1,500 -0.5% 295,700 296,600 -900 -0.3% 297,200 297,400 296,500
go to Information sector data table Information 32,900 32,600 300 0.9% 32,900 33,200 -300 -0.9% 33,600 33,300 34,000
go to Financial Activities sector data table Financial Activities 132,100 130,200 1,900 1.5% 132,100 131,900 200 0.2% 132,700 133,400 133,900
go to Professional and Business Services sector data table Professional and Business Services 216,700 216,400 300 0.1% 216,700 219,300 -2,600 -1.2% 218,500 219,000 218,200
go to Educational and Health Services sector data table Educational and Health Services 327,500 326,700 800 0.2% 327,500 329,200 -1,700 -0.5% 329,100 327,900 329,300
go to Leisure and Hospitality sector data table Leisure and Hospitality 152,200 152,700 -500 -0.3% 152,200 153,600 -1,400 -0.9% 155,500 154,100 152,900
go to Other Services sector data table Other Services 66,000 63,900 2,100 3.3% 66,000 64,900 1,100 1.7% 65,900 67,600 67,100
go to Government sector data table Government 235,700 237,500 -1,800 -0.8% 235,700 238,700 -3,000 -1.3% 241,100 239,300 240,600
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data United States Employment
go to United States nonfarm employment data table United States Nonfarm Employment 144,952,000 142,595,000 2,357,000 1.7% 144,952,000 144,791,000 161,000 0.1% 144,591,000 144,424,000 144,172,000
Recession Recovery: Connecticut has now recovered 69.0% (82,200, about 1,028 jobs per month) of the 119,100 seasonally adjusted jobs lost in the Great Recession (3/08-2/10). The job recovery is into its 80th month and the state needs an additional 36,900 jobs to reach an employment expansion. The state's private sector has done somewhat better, recovering 84.3% (94,200, or about 1,178 per month) of the 111,700 private sector jobs lost in that same employment downturn. The Government supersector has lost 19,400 positions since the recession started in March 2008; including 12,000 since the state's nonfarm employment recovery began in February 2010.

Recession Recovery

Labor Market Areas (LMAs): The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (700, 0.1%, 576,100 jobs) was the only regional labor market to add jobs in October and is still the strongest labor market in terms of job growth over the year (8,100, 1.4%) in both numeric and percentage terms. Both the New Haven LMA (-2,600, -0.9%, 280,500 jobs) and the Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA (-2,600, -0.6%, 410,500 jobs) lost an identical amount of jobs in October. The Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA also dropped 300 jobs (-0.2%, 128,000 positions) and has now gone back slightly negative over the year (-300, -0.2%).

Note: Six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently from the statewide data by the BLS and cover more than 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. Thus, estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total. Only four of the six BLS-estimated labor markets are seasonally adjusted. The Danbury LMA and the Waterbury LMA are not seasonally adjusted at this time due to a recent geography change.

Hours and Earnings: The Private Sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 34.2 hours in October 2016, up one half of an hour from the same month a year ago (1.5%). Average hourly earnings at $30.86, not seasonally adjusted, were up $1.37, or 4.6%, from the October 2015 hourly earnings estimate ($29.49). The resultant average Private Sector weekly pay amounted to $1,055.41, up $61.60, or 6.2% higher than a year ago.

AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
Oct CHG Sep Oct CHG Sep               Oct CHG Sep
(Not seasonally adjusted) 2016 2015 Y/Y 2016 2016 2015 Y/Y 2016 2016 2015 Y/Y 2016
PRODUCTION WORKER                      
MANUFACTURING $1,107.13 $1,071.63 $35.50 $1,111.54 43.4 40.7 2.7 42.9 $25.51 $26.33 -$0.82 $25.91
 DURABLE GOODS 1,151.92 1,108.13 43.79 1,160.52 44.0 40.8 3.2 43.4 26.18 27.16 -0.98 26.74
 NON-DUR. GOODS 956.16 943.90 12.26 947.42 41.5 40.2 1.3 41.3 23.04 23.48 -0.44 22.94
CONSTRUCTION 1,151.33 1,205.82 -54.49 1,185.64 38.7 39.6 -0.9 39.8 29.75 30.45 -0.70 29.79
                   
ALL EMPLOYEES                        
STATEWIDE                  
TOTAL PRIVATE 1,055.41 993.81 61.60 1,029.88 34.2 33.7 0.5 33.9 30.86 29.49 1.37 30.38
GOODS PRODUCING 1,248.76 1,246.18 2.58 1,262.66 40.4 39.7 0.7 40.6 30.91 31.39 -0.48 31.10
   Construction 1,200.84 1,261.07 -60.23 1,230.12 38.9 40.2 -1.3 39.9 30.87 31.37 -0.50 30.83
   Manufacturing 1,272.04 1,257.46 14.58 1,272.64 41.3 40.2 1.1 41.0 30.80 31.28 -0.48 31.04
SERVICE PROVIDING 1,021.14 948.01 73.13 988.19 33.1 32.6 0.5 32.7 30.85 29.08 1.77 30.22
   Trade, Transp., Utilities 910.42 835.33 75.09 888.44 33.3 33.4 -0.1 33.3 27.34 25.01 2.33 26.68
   Financial Activities 1,839.68 1,695.07 144.61 1,650.58 38.6 38.1 0.5 37.1 47.66 44.49 3.17 44.49
   Prof. & Business Serv. 1,251.38 1,178.41 72.96 1,226.00 35.5 34.7 0.8 34.8 35.25 33.96 1.29 35.23
   Education & Health Ser. 907.15 831.29 75.86 912.23 32.1 31.5 0.6 32.2 28.26 26.39 1.87 28.33
   Leisure & Hospitality 428.90 424.58 4.32 418.14 25.9 26.0 -0.1 25.7 16.56 16.33 0.23 16.27
   Other Services 754.56 676.10 78.46 741.24 32.0 30.4 1.6 32.2 23.58 22.24 1.34 23.02
LABOR MARKET AREAS: TOTAL PRIVATE              
   Bridgeport-Stamford 1,177.86 1,153.28 24.58 1,138.05 34.4 34.0 0.4 33.8 34.24 33.92 0.32 33.67
   Danbury 999.37 964.66 34.71 948.05 33.9 34.7 -0.8 33.3 29.48 27.80 1.68 28.47
   Hartford 1,093.07 1,013.69 79.38 1,072.25 34.8 34.2 0.6 34.6 31.41 29.64 1.77 30.99
   New Haven 955.18 931.07 24.11 945.88 32.6 33.3 -0.7 32.9 29.30 27.96 1.34 28.75
   Norwich-New London 823.80 763.61 60.19 815.00 32.6 32.9 -0.3 32.6 25.27 23.21 2.06 25.00
   Waterbury 866.86 804.45 62.41 851.08 35.6 33.9 1.7 35.3 24.35 23.73 0.62 24.11
The 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in October 2016 was 1.6%. Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the “Hours and Earnings” data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses. Consumer Price Index...see more
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 Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed
Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model applying the CPS – the Current Population Survey residential data), the number of Connecticut unemployed residents, seasonally adjusted, decreased by 5,300 (-5.1%) over the month to 97,900 in October 2016. Over the year, the number of the state's jobless residents has decreased by 3,000 (-3.0%). The state's labor force declined slightly (-600, -0.03%) over the month, but continues to expand moderately over the year (19,700, 1.1%).
  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Jan   1,893.5 1,723.6 169.9 1,919.9 1,742.8 177.1 1,904.2 1,747.6 156.6 1,865.1 1,714.8 150.3 1,873.8 1,741.1 132.7 1,900.2 1,784.1 116.2 1,892.3 1,788.5 103.8
Feb   1,895.4 1,724.1 171.3 1,919.4 1,742.9 176.5 1,901.9 1,745.5 156.3 1,863.3 1,714.6 148.8 1,876.5 1,745.5 131.0 1,900.1 1,785.7 114.4 1,896.1 1,791.6 104.5
Mar   1,897.8 1,725.8 172.0 1,918.0 1,742.7 175.3 1,899.0 1,742.2 156.8 1,862.9 1,715.4 147.5 1,879.0 1,749.9 129.2 1,898.6 1,786.7 111.9 1,901.9 1,794.4 107.5
Apr   1,900.8 1,728.4 172.4 1,915.9 1,742.3 173.6 1,895.7 1,737.8 157.9 1,863.8 1,717.4 146.4 1,881.1 1,753.9 127.1 1,895.9 1,786.8 109.1 1,904.9 1,795.5 109.4
May   1,904.0 1,731.5 172.5 1,913.7 1,742.0 171.6 1,892.0 1,732.9 159.1 1,865.5 1,720.0 145.4 1,882.8 1,757.8 125.0 1,892.4 1,786.2 106.2 1,901.9 1,793.6 108.3
Jun   1,907.2 1,734.5 172.7 1,911.8 1,742.3 169.4 1,888.2 1,728.2 160.0 1,867.1 1,722.7 144.4 1,884.6 1,761.6 123.0 1,888.7 1,785.3 103.5 1,900.6 1,790.1 110.5
Jul   1,910.0 1,736.8 173.2 1,910.5 1,743.3 167.2 1,884.5 1,724.2 160.2 1,868.0 1,725.0 143.0 1,886.6 1,765.2 121.4 1,885.8 1,784.3 101.5 1,900.6 1,792.1 108.5
Aug   1,912.4 1,738.4 174.0 1,909.8 1,744.9 164.9 1,881.0 1,721.4 159.6 1,868.3 1,726.9 141.4 1,889.0 1,768.7 120.3 1,884.2 1,783.5 100.6 1,902.4 1,796.3 106.1
Sep   1,914.3 1,739.3 175.0 1,909.3 1,746.5 162.8 1,877.8 1,719.5 158.3 1,868.2 1,728.7 139.6 1,891.6 1,772.1 119.5 1,883.6 1,783.1 100.5 1,904.2 1,801.0 103.2
Oct   1,915.9 1,739.9 176.0 1,908.7 1,747.9 160.8 1,874.5 1,718.1 156.4 1,868.4 1,730.8 137.7 1,894.4 1,775.5 118.9 1,883.8 1,783.0 100.8 1,903.5 1,805.7 97.9
Nov   1,917.2 1,740.5 176.8 1,907.7 1,748.7 159.0 1,871.1 1,716.9 154.2 1,869.4 1,733.5 135.9 1,897.1 1,778.8 118.2 1,884.3 1,783.0 101.4
Dec   1,918.1 1,741.0 177.2 1,906.2 1,748.6 157.6 1,867.9 1,715.7 152.2 1,871.2 1,736.9 134.3 1,899.1 1,781.7 117.4 1,885.2 1,783.1 102.1
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 State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate
The October 2016 unemployment rate for Connecticut was estimated at 5.1% (seasonally adjusted), down three-tenths of a percentage point from September 2016 (5.4%). This is the fourth consecutive monthly decline in the state's unemployment rate. The state's jobless rate is now three-tenths of percentage point lower than a year ago (5.4%). The US unemployment rate was calculated at 4.9% in October, down one-tenth from both September 2016 and a year ago.
  2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons
Jan  7.0 7.8 0.8 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.1 -0.1 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.1 8.0 -0.1 7.1 6.6 -0.5 6.1 5.7 -0.4 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Feb  7.2 8.3 1.1 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.0 -0.2 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.0 7.7 -0.3 7.0 6.7 -0.3 6.0 5.5 -0.5 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Mar  7.5 8.7 1.2 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.0 -0.1 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.5 -0.4 6.9 6.7 -0.2 5.9 5.5 -0.4 5.7 5.0 -0.7
Apr  7.7 9.0 1.3 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.1 0.0 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.6 -0.3 6.8 6.2 -0.6 5.8 5.4 -0.4 5.7 5.0 -0.7
May  7.9 9.4 1.5 9.1 9.6 0.5 9.0 9.0 0.0 8.4 8.2 -0.2 7.8 7.5 -0.3 6.6 6.2 -0.4 5.6 5.5 -0.1 5.7 4.7 -1.0
Jun  8.1 9.5 1.4 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.9 9.1 0.2 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.5 -0.2 6.5 6.1 -0.4 5.5 5.3 -0.2 5.8 4.9 -0.9
Jul  8.2 9.5 1.3 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.7 9.0 0.3 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.3 -0.4 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.4 5.3 -0.1 5.7 4.9 -0.8
Aug  8.4 9.6 1.2 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.6 9.0 0.4 8.5 8.1 -0.4 7.6 7.3 -0.3 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.3 5.1 -0.2 5.6 4.9 -0.7
Sep  8.5 9.8 1.3 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.5 9.0 0.5 8.4 7.8 -0.6 7.5 7.3 -0.2 6.3 6.0 -0.3 5.3 5.1 -0.2 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Oct  8.6 10.0 1.4 9.2 9.4 0.2 8.4 8.8 0.4 8.3 7.8 -0.5 7.4 7.2 -0.2 6.3 5.7 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4 5.1 4.9 -0.2
Nov  8.8 9.9 1.1 9.2 9.8 0.6 8.3 8.6 0.3 8.2 7.7 -0.5 7.3 6.9 -0.4 6.2 5.8 -0.4 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Dec  8.9 9.9 1.0 9.2 9.3 0.1 8.3 8.5 0.2 8.1 7.9 -0.2 7.2 6.7 -0.5 6.2 5.6 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate and labor force estimates are based on a household survey, and measure the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Job and employment estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month's value.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, December 15, 2016 (November 2016 data)
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