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Labor Market Information - State of Connecticut Labor Situation
State of Connecticut Labor Situation Last Updated: June 16, 2016
Connecticut’s jobless rate steady at 5.7%; nonfarm jobs fall by 1,400. Connecticut Labor Situation - May 2016 PDF
WETHERSFIELD, June 16, 2016 - Preliminary statewide nonfarm job numbers from the business payroll survey administered by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reveal Connecticut lost 1,400 jobs (0.08%) in May 2016 to a level of 1,688,100, seasonally adjusted. This is the first estimated monthly job loss in the state in 2016. Connecticut nonagricultural employment growth now is calculated at 13,900 (0.83%, about 1,158 per month) over the year. The original release of a 3,500 nonfarm job gain (0.21%) in April 2016 was revised slightly lower to a 3,200 (0.19%) job increase.

The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate for Connecticut in May 2016 was estimated at 5.7% (based on the CPS - Current Population Survey of residential households), unchanged for the third consecutive month. The number of unemployed state residents (-1,112, -1.0%) dropped in May. The state’s jobless rate, however, is one-tenth of a percentage point higher than the May 2015 unemployment rate of 5.6%.

“Connecticut’s decline of 1,400 jobs in May follows a very slow month for job growth across the country,” said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. “Our labor force saw small but equal percentage declines in both residents employed and unemployed, resulting in an unchanged unemployment rate.”

Nonfarm Jobs Detail (business establishment survey)

Connecticut Nonfarm Employment...see more Unemployment Rates...see more New UI Claims...see more

May 2016 preliminary nonfarm job estimates indicate a 1,400 (-0.08%) monthly job loss, seasonally adjusted, as five of ten major industry supersectors added jobs. Tallied from May 2015, the state is now estimated to have increased nonfarm employment by 13,900 positions (0.83%) over the year with nine of ten major industry supersectors providing broad-based job gains. Through the first five months of the year, Connecticut has increased nonfarm jobs by 8,100. The employment gains in the first five months of 2015 were 5,800.

Connecticut's Private Sector employment at 1,449,300 was also lower in May by 2,400 (-0.17%) but is estimated to be higher by 14,700 jobs (1.02%, 1,225 jobs per month average) over the year. The Government supersector added 1,000 jobs (0.42%, 238,800 jobs) last month but remains the only declining major industry supersector (-800, -0.33%) since May 2015.

Five of the ten industry supersectors gained employment in May 2016 while five declined (seasonally adjusted). Manufacturing (1,200, 0.8%, 160,900 jobs) led gainers. The durable-goods production subsectors (800, 0.7%, 124,100 jobs), which includes defense and aerospace, have been growing lately. The Government supersector (1,000, 0.4%, 238,800 jobs) was the next biggest job gainer for May, although the gain may have more to do with seasonal adjustment rather than significant job gains. The Construction and Mining (900, 1.5%, 60,000 jobs) supersector also added positions last month. The building sectors have gained 2,400 jobs in the last two months. The Financial Activities (700, 0.5%, 132,500) supersector was up last month with gains from both finance and insurance (500, 0.5%, 111,700 jobs) and real estate (200, 1.0%, 20,800). The Other Services (400, 0.3%, 65,300 jobs) supersector produced a small monthly gain as well.

Trade, Transportation & Utilities (-2,600, -0.9%, 297,600 jobs) led declining industry supersectors in May. The retail trade (-2,700, -1.5%, 182,600 jobs) subcomponent was responsible for the entire monthly drop in this supersector. Education and Health Services (-1,400, -0.4%, 328,500 jobs) was also lower in job counts, led down by private education components (-800, -1.2%, 64,000 jobs) getting closer to the end of the school year. This supersector still remains the largest in numeric job growth over the year (2,800, 0.9%). The small Information industry supersector (-1,000, -2.9%, 33,600 jobs) posted a large loss in May which may have had some minor influence from the Verizon strike. The Professional and Business Services supersector (-400, -0.2%, 218,700 jobs) posted a small job loss as well. The Leisure and Hospitality (-200, -0.1%, 152,200 jobs) supersector exhibited just a slight job decline.

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment
Year to Year Month to Month Previous Three Months
May 2016 May 2015 Change Rate % May 2016 Apr 2016 Change Rate % Mar 2016 Feb 2016 Jan 2016
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data State of Connecticut Employment
go to Connecticut nonfarm employment data table Connecticut Nonfarm Employment 1,688,100 1,674,200 13,900 0.8% 1,688,100 1,689,500 -1,400 -0.1% 1,686,300 1,685,300 1,681,200
go to Private Sector sector data table Private Sector 1,449,300 1,434,600 14,700 1.0% 1,449,300 1,451,700 -2,400 -0.2% 1,448,500 1,447,800 1,442,900
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Goods Producing Industries
go to Construction sector data table Construction 59,500 58,100 1,400 2.4% 59,500 58,600 900 1.5% 57,100 58,100 58,100
go to Manufacturing sector data table Manufacturing 160,900 159,100 1,800 1.1% 160,900 159,700 1,200 0.8% 159,500 159,900 158,800
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Service Providing Industries
go to Transportation and Public Utilities sector data table Transportation and Public Utilities 297,600 296,800 800 0.3% 297,600 300,200 -2,600 -0.9% 299,200 298,500 298,500
go to Information sector data table Information 33,600 32,400 1,200 3.7% 33,600 34,600 -1,000 -2.9% 34,300 33,600 33,100
go to Financial Activities sector data table Financial Activities 132,500 130,200 2,300 1.8% 132,500 131,800 700 0.5% 131,100 130,900 131,500
go to Professional and Business Services sector data table Professional and Business Services 218,700 216,400 2,300 1.1% 218,700 219,100 -400 -0.2% 217,500 216,600 216,900
go to Educational and Health Services sector data table Educational and Health Services 328,500 325,700 2,800 0.9% 328,500 329,900 -1,400 -0.4% 329,200 329,100 325,100
go to Leisure and Hospitality sector data table Leisure and Hospitality 152,200 151,200 1,000 0.7% 152,200 152,400 -200 -0.1% 155,400 155,000 154,900
go to Other Services sector data table Other Services 65,300 64,100 1,200 1.9% 65,300 64,900 400 0.6% 64,700 65,600 65,400
go to Government sector data table Government 238,800 239,600 -800 -0.3% 238,800 237,800 1,000 0.4% 237,800 237,500 238,300
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data United States Employment
go to United States nonfarm employment data table United States Nonfarm Employment 143,894,000 141,496,000 2,398,000 1.7% 143,894,000 143,856,000 38,000 0.0% 143,755,000 143,547,000 143,318,000
Recession Recovery: Connecticut has now recovered 93,900 positions, or 78.8% of the 119,100 seasonally adjusted total nonfarm jobs that were lost in the state during the March 2008 - February 2010 employment recession. The state needs to reach the 1,713,300 seasonally adjusted job mark to enter a clear nonfarm employment expansion. This will require 25,200 more nonfarm jobs. Connecticut’s nonfarm jobs recovery is now 75 months old and is averaging 1,252 jobs per month since February 2010.

Recession Recovery

Connecticut's Private Sector has recovered employment at a better pace, regaining 102,800 (92.0%, about 1,371 jobs per month) of the 111,700 private sector positions that were lost during that same employment downturn. The government supersector has lost another 8,900 positions since the employment recovery began in February 2010 in addition to the 7,400 jobs the sector lost in the recession itself (Native American employment on reservations, including casinos, are tallied in local government in Connecticut). This has slowed the state’s job recovery in relation to past employment recoveries.

Labor Market Areas (LMAs): May’s preliminary nonfarm job statistics show that just one of the four Connecticut Labor Market Areas that are seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics added jobs in May 2016. The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (100, 0.02%, 574,000 jobs) posted the only local LMA gain and this was very small. The Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA (-1,300, -0.3%, 412,100 jobs), the Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (-1,200, -0.9%, 128,900 jobs), and the New Haven LMA (-500, -0.2%, 280,400 jobs) all posted May 2016 job losses. Over the year, the Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA still leads in numeric job growth (6,300) and now percentage growth (1.1%) as well.

Note: Six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently from the statewide data by the BLS and cover more than 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. Thus estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total. Only four of the six BLS–estimated labor markets are seasonally adjusted. The Danbury LMA and the Waterbury LMA are not seasonally adjusted at this time due to a recent geography change.

Hours and Earnings: The Private Sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 34.0 hours in May 2016, up seven-tenths of hour from the same month a year ago. Average hourly earnings at $30.66, not seasonally adjusted, were up $1.98, or 6.9%, from the May 2015 hourly earnings estimate ($28.68). The resultant average Private Sector weekly pay was calculated at $1,042.44, up $87.40, or 9.2% higher than a year ago. Note: Other data sources do not support this aggressive level of wage growth. The 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in May 2016 was an even 1.0%. Note: Other data sources do not support this aggressive level of wage growth.

The 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in May 2016 was an even 1.0%. Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the “Hours and Earnings” data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses.

Consumer Price Index...see more
 Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed Top
Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model using the CPS – the Current Population Survey residential data), the number of Connecticut unemployed residents, seasonally adjusted, decreased by 1,112 (-1.0%) over the month to 108,278 in May 2016. Over the year, the number of the state’s jobless residents has now gone positive and has increased by 2,100 (2.0%). The state’s labor force decreased (-2,643, -0.1%) over the month for the first time in 2016, but is still expanding over the year (9,865, 0.5%).
  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Jan   1,893.5 1,723.6 169.9 1,919.9 1,742.8 177.1 1,904.2 1,747.6 156.6 1,865.1 1,714.8 150.3 1,873.8 1,741.1 132.7 1,900.2 1,784.1 116.2 1,892.3 1,788.5 103.8
Feb   1,895.4 1,724.1 171.3 1,919.4 1,742.9 176.5 1,901.9 1,745.5 156.3 1,863.3 1,714.6 148.8 1,876.5 1,745.5 131.0 1,900.1 1,785.7 114.4 1,896.1 1,791.6 104.5
Mar   1,897.8 1,725.8 172.0 1,918.0 1,742.7 175.3 1,899.0 1,742.2 156.8 1,862.9 1,715.4 147.5 1,879.0 1,749.9 129.2 1,898.6 1,786.7 111.9 1,901.9 1,794.4 107.5
Apr   1,900.8 1,728.4 172.4 1,915.9 1,742.3 173.6 1,895.7 1,737.8 157.9 1,863.8 1,717.4 146.4 1,881.1 1,753.9 127.1 1,895.9 1,786.8 109.1 1,904.9 1,795.5 109.4
May   1,904.0 1,731.5 172.5 1,913.7 1,742.0 171.6 1,892.0 1,732.9 159.1 1,865.5 1,720.0 145.4 1,882.8 1,757.8 125.0 1,892.4 1,786.2 106.2 1,902.3 1,794.0 108.3
Jun   1,907.2 1,734.5 172.7 1,911.8 1,742.3 169.4 1,888.2 1,728.2 160.0 1,867.1 1,722.7 144.4 1,884.6 1,761.6 123.0 1,888.7 1,785.3 103.5
Jul   1,910.0 1,736.8 173.2 1,910.5 1,743.3 167.2 1,884.5 1,724.2 160.2 1,868.0 1,725.0 143.0 1,886.6 1,765.2 121.4 1,885.8 1,784.3 101.5
Aug   1,912.4 1,738.4 174.0 1,909.8 1,744.9 164.9 1,881.0 1,721.4 159.6 1,868.3 1,726.9 141.4 1,889.0 1,768.7 120.3 1,884.2 1,783.5 100.6
Sep   1,914.3 1,739.3 175.0 1,909.3 1,746.5 162.8 1,877.8 1,719.5 158.3 1,868.2 1,728.7 139.6 1,891.6 1,772.1 119.5 1,883.6 1,783.1 100.5
Oct   1,915.9 1,739.9 176.0 1,908.7 1,747.9 160.8 1,874.5 1,718.1 156.4 1,868.4 1,730.8 137.7 1,894.4 1,775.5 118.9 1,883.8 1,783.0 100.8
Nov   1,917.2 1,740.5 176.8 1,907.7 1,748.7 159.0 1,871.1 1,716.9 154.2 1,869.4 1,733.5 135.9 1,897.1 1,778.8 118.2 1,884.3 1,783.0 101.4
Dec   1,918.1 1,741.0 177.2 1,906.2 1,748.6 157.6 1,867.9 1,715.7 152.2 1,871.2 1,736.9 134.3 1,899.1 1,781.7 117.4 1,885.2 1,783.1 102.1
 State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate Top
Connecticut’s May 2016 unemployment rate was estimated at 5.7% (seasonally adjusted), unchanged for the third month in a row. The state’s jobless rate is now one-tenth of percentage point higher than a year ago (5.6%). The US unemployment rate was calculated at 4.7% for May 2016, down three-tenths of a percentage point from April 2016, and down eight-tenths of a percentage point from May 2015 (5.5%).
  2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons
Jan  7.0 7.8 0.8 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.1 -0.1 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.1 8.0 -0.1 7.1 6.6 -0.5 6.1 5.7 -0.4 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Feb  7.2 8.3 1.1 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.0 -0.2 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.0 7.7 -0.3 7.0 6.7 -0.3 6.0 5.5 -0.5 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Mar  7.5 8.7 1.2 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.0 -0.1 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.5 -0.4 6.9 6.7 -0.2 5.9 5.5 -0.4 5.7 5.0 -0.7
Apr  7.7 9.0 1.3 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.1 0.0 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.6 -0.3 6.8 6.2 -0.6 5.8 5.4 -0.4 5.7 5.0 -0.7
May  7.9 9.4 1.5 9.1 9.6 0.5 9.0 9.0 0.0 8.4 8.2 -0.2 7.8 7.5 -0.3 6.6 6.2 -0.4 5.6 5.5 -0.1 5.7 4.7 -1.0
Jun  8.1 9.5 1.4 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.9 9.1 0.2 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.5 -0.2 6.5 6.1 -0.4 5.5 5.3 -0.2
Jul  8.2 9.5 1.3 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.7 9.0 0.3 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.3 -0.4 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.4 5.3 -0.1
Aug  8.4 9.6 1.2 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.6 9.0 0.4 8.5 8.1 -0.4 7.6 7.3 -0.3 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.3 5.1 -0.2
Sep  8.5 9.8 1.3 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.5 9.0 0.5 8.4 7.8 -0.6 7.5 7.3 -0.2 6.3 6.0 -0.3 5.3 5.1 -0.2
Oct  8.6 10.0 1.4 9.2 9.4 0.2 8.4 8.8 0.4 8.3 7.8 -0.5 7.4 7.2 -0.2 6.3 5.7 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Nov  8.8 9.9 1.1 9.2 9.8 0.6 8.3 8.6 0.3 8.2 7.7 -0.5 7.3 6.9 -0.4 6.2 5.8 -0.4 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Dec  8.9 9.9 1.0 9.2 9.3 0.1 8.3 8.5 0.2 8.1 7.9 -0.2 7.2 6.7 -0.5 6.2 5.6 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate, based on a household survey, is a measure of the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Additionally, changes in methodology that culminated in March 2011 with the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics assuming complete responsibility for estimating all states’ monthly nonfarm job counts, have contributed to the month-to-month variability in the numbers. Jobs estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month’s estimate.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, July 21, 2016 (June 2016 data)
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