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Labor Market Information - State of Connecticut Labor Situation
State of Connecticut Labor Situation Last Updated: April 14, 2016
Nonfarm jobs flat in March; state unemployment rate rises two-tenths of a percent. Connecticut Labor Situation - March 2016 PDF
WETHERSFIELD, April 14, 2016 - Preliminary nonfarm job estimates derived from the business/establishment survey of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimate Connecticut added 300 jobs (0.02%) in March 2016 to a level of 1,685,600, seasonally adjusted. Establishment job gains now measure 15,000 (0.9%, 1,250 per month) since March 2015. The original release of a 4,200 job gain for February 2016 was slightly lowered to 4,100 (0.24%) on usual revisions. Year-to-date estimated statewide nonfarm job gains for the first three months of 2016 total 5,600, compared to the 2,200 added last year during the frigid first quarter of 2015.

The statewide seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was calculated at 5.7% (based on the Current Population Survey of households) for March 2016. This is higher by two-tenths of a percentage point from the February 2016 revised rate of 5.5%, but down two-tenths of a percentage point from the March 2015 unemployment rate of 5.9%. Over the year, the number of the state’s unemployed residents has fallen by 4,367 (-3.9%), but they did rise in March 2016 (3,064, 2.9%) to 107,575. Last month, the statewide labor force expanded back above the 1.9 million mark (1,901,906) for the first time since February 2015.

“Although the rise in the unemployment rate this month was unexpected, there are some positive aspects to the move,” said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. “The rise in unemployment occurred in a growing labor force, meaning it was driven by more people entering the labor market looking for work rather than a decrease in the number of employed. Job growth is occurring, but not fast enough to employ all of those recently entering the market.”

Nonfarm Jobs Detail (business establishment survey)

Connecticut Nonfarm Employment...see more Unemployment Rates...see more New UI Claims...see more

Initial state nonfarm job numbers for March 2016 indicate employment increased by just 300 (0.02%) positions over the month, seasonally adjusted, with six major industry supersectors adding jobs and four declining. Since March 2015, Connecticut is calculated to have added 15,000 (0.90%) additional nonfarm jobs on much broader industry supersector gains as eight industry supersectors increased while just two declined.

Private Sector employment (1,447,800 jobs) in the state was unchanged in March 2016 but has increased by 16,400 jobs (1.15%, about 1,367 jobs per month) over the year. The Government supersector for March added 300 jobs (0.13%, 237,800 jobs) but has declined by -1,400 (-0.59%) since March 2015.

Six of the ten major industry supersectors added jobs in March 2016 and four declined, seasonally adjusted. The biggest job gaining supersector in March was Trade, Transportation & Utilities (1,300, 0.4%, 299,800 jobs). The transportation and utility components (900, 1.8%, 52,400 jobs) were the strongest mover in that supersector last month and have been very robust over the year (3,400, 6.9%). Low energy prices may have a role here. The Leisure and Hospitality (500, 0.3%, 155,500 jobs) supersector continued solid employment gains as well with restaurants and hotels (600, 0.5%, 126,500) adding positions last month. This supersector also leads in annualized job growth (4,600, 3.1%). March gains of 300 jobs each came from the Government supersector (300, 0.1%, 237,800 jobs) and the Professional and Business Services supersector (300, 0.1%, 216,900). Smaller gains of a hundred each also were posted by the Information industry supersector (100, 0.3%, 33,700) and the Education and Health Services (100, 0.03%, 329,200 jobs) supersector. The small Information industry supersector (1,400, 4.3%) now leads all ten industry supersectors in percentage growth over the year.

The four declining industry supersectors in March 2016 were highlighted by an unexpected decline in Construction and Mining (-1,100, -1.9%, 57,500 jobs). This seemed to be a bigger decline than expected considering the warm weather. The supersector is now slightly lower over the year (-100, -0.2%). The Other Services (-900, -1.4%, 64,700) supersector was the next largest decliner. Minor job losses also emanated from the Manufacturing (-200, -0.1%, 159,700) and Financial Activities (-100, -0.1%, 130,800) industry supersectors.

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment
Year to Year Month to Month Previous Three Months
Mar 2016 Mar 2015 Change Rate % Mar 2016 Feb 2016 Change Rate % Jan 2016 Dec 2015 Nov 2015
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data State of Connecticut Employment
go to Connecticut nonfarm employment data table Connecticut Nonfarm Employment 1,685,600 1,670,600 15,000 0.9% 1,685,600 1,685,300 300 0.0% 1,681,200 1,680,000 1,678,500
go to Private Sector sector data table Private Sector 1,447,800 1,431,400 16,400 1.1% 1,447,800 1,447,800 0 0.0% 1,442,900 1,442,500 1,440,800
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Goods Producing Industries
go to Construction sector data table Construction 57,000 57,000 0 0.0% 57,000 58,100 -1,100 -1.9% 58,100 57,400 57,700
go to Manufacturing sector data table Manufacturing 159,700 158,900 800 0.5% 159,700 159,900 -200 -0.1% 158,800 158,500 158,800
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Service Providing Industries
go to Transportation and Public Utilities sector data table Transportation and Public Utilities 299,800 295,900 3,900 1.3% 299,800 298,500 1,300 0.4% 298,500 299,300 298,500
go to Information sector data table Information 33,700 32,300 1,400 4.3% 33,700 33,600 100 0.3% 33,100 32,900 32,700
go to Financial Activities sector data table Financial Activities 130,800 129,900 900 0.7% 130,800 130,900 -100 -0.1% 131,500 130,300 130,100
go to Professional and Business Services sector data table Professional and Business Services 216,900 216,100 800 0.4% 216,900 216,600 300 0.1% 216,900 217,400 216,700
go to Educational and Health Services sector data table Educational and Health Services 329,200 326,000 3,200 1.0% 329,200 329,100 100 0.0% 325,100 327,600 327,900
go to Leisure and Hospitality sector data table Leisure and Hospitality 155,500 150,900 4,600 3.0% 155,500 155,000 500 0.3% 154,900 153,900 153,500
go to Other Services sector data table Other Services 64,700 63,800 900 1.4% 64,700 65,600 -900 -1.4% 65,400 64,600 64,300
go to Government sector data table Government 237,800 239,200 -1,400 -0.6% 237,800 237,500 300 0.1% 238,300 237,500 237,700
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data United States Employment
go to United States nonfarm employment data table United States Nonfarm Employment 143,774,000 140,972,000 2,802,000 2.0% 143,774,000 143,559,000 215,000 0.1% 143,318,000 143,137,000 142,875,000
Recession Recovery: Connecticut has now recovered 91,400 positions, or 76.7% of the 119,100 seasonally adjusted total nonfarm jobs that were lost in the state during the March 2008 - February 2010 employment recession. The state needs to reach the 1,713,300 seasonally-adjusted job mark to enter a clear nonfarm employment expansion. This will require an additional 27,700 nonfarm jobs. Connecticut’s nonfarm jobs recovery is now 73 months old and is averaging about 1,252 jobs per month since February 2010. The current annualized pace of Connecticut’s nonfarm job growth (short-term 1,250 per month) is nearly identical to the longer term pace of job growth since the employment recovery began in February 2010 (1,252 per month).

Recession Recovery

The state’s Private Sector has recovered employment at a greater pace, regaining 101,300 (90.7%, 1,388 per month) of the 111,700 private sector positions that were lost during that same employment downturn. The state’s Government supersector, which includes casino employment on federally-recognized reservations, has continued to lose jobs (-9,900 net) throughout the job recovery, in addition to the 7,400 lost in this past recession.

Labor Market Areas (LMAs): The preliminary March 2016 regional labor market nonfarm job numbers show that three of the four Connecticut Labor Market Areas that are seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics added jobs, while just the New Haven LMA (-700, -0.2%, 279,600 jobs) posted an employment shortfall. The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (1,100, 0.2%, 571,700 jobs) led all labor markets in job growth last month. The Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA (1,000, 0.2%, 411,900 jobs) posted solid job gains and the smaller Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (100, 0.1%, 130,200) was also slightly positive. The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (4,500, 0.8%) continue to narrowly lead in numeric annual job growth, while the smaller Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (4,000, 3.25%) leads in year-to-year percentage gains.

Note: Six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently from the statewide data by the BLS and cover more than 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. Thus estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total. Only four of the six BLS - estimated labor markets are seasonally adjusted. The Danbury LMA and the Waterbury LMA are not seasonally adjusted at this time due to a recent geography change.

Hours and Earnings: The Private Sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 33.2 hours in March 2016, down four-tenths of an hour from the same month a year ago (33.6 hours, -1.2%). Average hourly earnings at $30.06, not seasonally adjusted, were up $1.02, or 3.5%, from the March 2015 hourly earnings estimate. The resultant average Private Sector weekly pay was calculated at $997.99, up $22.25, or 2.3% higher than a year ago.

Note: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in March 2016 was 0.9%. Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the “Hours and Earnings” data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses.

Consumer Price Index...see more
 Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed Top
Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model using the CPS – the Current Population Survey residential/household data), the number of Connecticut unemployed residents, seasonally adjusted, increased by 3,064 (2.9%) over the month to 107,575 in March 2016. Since March 2015, the number of the state’s jobless residents has declined by 4,367 (-3.9%). The March unemployment figures also show the state’s labor force increased (5,760, 0.3%) over the month returning to the 1.9 million mark (1,901,906) for the first time since February 2015. Labor force growth has also turned back to positive over the year in March (3,296, 0.2%).
  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Jan   1,893.5 1,723.6 169.9 1,919.9 1,742.8 177.1 1,904.2 1,747.6 156.6 1,865.1 1,714.8 150.3 1,873.8 1,741.1 132.7 1,900.2 1,784.1 116.2 1,892.3 1,788.5 103.8
Feb   1,895.4 1,724.1 171.3 1,919.4 1,742.9 176.5 1,901.9 1,745.5 156.3 1,863.3 1,714.6 148.8 1,876.5 1,745.5 131.0 1,900.1 1,785.7 114.4 1,896.1 1,791.6 104.5
Mar   1,897.8 1,725.8 172.0 1,918.0 1,742.7 175.3 1,899.0 1,742.2 156.8 1,862.9 1,715.4 147.5 1,879.0 1,749.9 129.2 1,898.6 1,786.7 111.9 1,901.9 1,794.3 107.6
Apr   1,900.8 1,728.4 172.4 1,915.9 1,742.3 173.6 1,895.7 1,737.8 157.9 1,863.8 1,717.4 146.4 1,881.1 1,753.9 127.1 1,895.9 1,786.8 109.1
May   1,904.0 1,731.5 172.5 1,913.7 1,742.0 171.6 1,892.0 1,732.9 159.1 1,865.5 1,720.0 145.4 1,882.8 1,757.8 125.0 1,892.4 1,786.2 106.2
Jun   1,907.2 1,734.5 172.7 1,911.8 1,742.3 169.4 1,888.2 1,728.2 160.0 1,867.1 1,722.7 144.4 1,884.6 1,761.6 123.0 1,888.7 1,785.3 103.5
Jul   1,910.0 1,736.8 173.2 1,910.5 1,743.3 167.2 1,884.5 1,724.2 160.2 1,868.0 1,725.0 143.0 1,886.6 1,765.2 121.4 1,885.8 1,784.3 101.5
Aug   1,912.4 1,738.4 174.0 1,909.8 1,744.9 164.9 1,881.0 1,721.4 159.6 1,868.3 1,726.9 141.4 1,889.0 1,768.7 120.3 1,884.2 1,783.5 100.6
Sep   1,914.3 1,739.3 175.0 1,909.3 1,746.5 162.8 1,877.8 1,719.5 158.3 1,868.2 1,728.7 139.6 1,891.6 1,772.1 119.5 1,883.6 1,783.1 100.5
Oct   1,915.9 1,739.9 176.0 1,908.7 1,747.9 160.8 1,874.5 1,718.1 156.4 1,868.4 1,730.8 137.7 1,894.4 1,775.5 118.9 1,883.8 1,783.0 100.8
Nov   1,917.2 1,740.5 176.8 1,907.7 1,748.7 159.0 1,871.1 1,716.9 154.2 1,869.4 1,733.5 135.9 1,897.1 1,778.8 118.2 1,884.3 1,783.0 101.4
Dec   1,918.1 1,741.0 177.2 1,906.2 1,748.6 157.6 1,867.9 1,715.7 152.2 1,871.2 1,736.9 134.3 1,899.1 1,781.7 117.4 1,885.2 1,783.1 102.1
 State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate Top
Connecticut’s March 2016 unemployment rate was estimated at 5.7%, seasonally adjusted, rising two-tenths of a percentage point from the previous month. Nevertheless, this is still down two-tenths of a percentage point from the revised March 2015 unemployment rate of 5.9%. The US unemployment rate was calculated at 5.0% for March 2016, up one-tenth of a percentage point from February 2016, but down five-tenths of a percentage point from March 2015 (5.5%).
  2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons
Jan  7.0 7.8 0.8 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.1 -0.1 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.1 8.0 -0.1 7.1 6.6 -0.5 6.1 5.7 -0.4 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Feb  7.2 8.3 1.1 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.0 -0.2 8.2 8.3 0.1 8.0 7.7 -0.3 7.0 6.7 -0.3 6.0 5.5 -0.5 5.5 4.9 -0.6
Mar  7.5 8.7 1.2 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.0 -0.1 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.5 -0.4 6.9 6.7 -0.2 5.9 5.5 -0.4 5.7 5.0 -0.7
Apr  7.7 9.0 1.3 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.1 0.0 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.6 -0.3 6.8 6.2 -0.6 5.8 5.4 -0.4
May  7.9 9.4 1.5 9.1 9.6 0.5 9.0 9.0 0.0 8.4 8.2 -0.2 7.8 7.5 -0.3 6.6 6.2 -0.4 5.6 5.5 -0.1
Jun  8.1 9.5 1.4 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.9 9.1 0.2 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.5 -0.2 6.5 6.1 -0.4 5.5 5.3 -0.2
Jul  8.2 9.5 1.3 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.7 9.0 0.3 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.3 -0.4 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.4 5.3 -0.1
Aug  8.4 9.6 1.2 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.6 9.0 0.4 8.5 8.1 -0.4 7.6 7.3 -0.3 6.4 6.2 -0.2 5.3 5.1 -0.2
Sep  8.5 9.8 1.3 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.5 9.0 0.5 8.4 7.8 -0.6 7.5 7.3 -0.2 6.3 6.0 -0.3 5.3 5.1 -0.2
Oct  8.6 10.0 1.4 9.2 9.4 0.2 8.4 8.8 0.4 8.3 7.8 -0.5 7.4 7.2 -0.2 6.3 5.7 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Nov  8.8 9.9 1.1 9.2 9.8 0.6 8.3 8.6 0.3 8.2 7.7 -0.5 7.3 6.9 -0.4 6.2 5.8 -0.4 5.4 5.0 -0.4
Dec  8.9 9.9 1.0 9.2 9.3 0.1 8.3 8.5 0.2 8.1 7.9 -0.2 7.2 6.7 -0.5 6.2 5.6 -0.6 5.4 5.0 -0.4

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate, based on a household survey, is a measure of the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Additionally, changes in methodology that culminated in March 2011 with the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics assuming complete responsibility for estimating all states’ monthly nonfarm job counts, have contributed to the month-to-month variability in the numbers. Jobs estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month’s estimate.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, May 16, 2016 (April 2016 data)
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