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  Labor Situation - State of Connecticut Last Updated: July 20, 2015
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current Connecticut Labor Situation - May 2015 PDF

Connecticut Nonfarm Employment...see more Unemployment Rates...see more New UI Claims...see more Consumer Price Index...see more

Unemployment rate falls three-tenths to 5.7%; private sector adds 2,600 jobs in June
WETHERSFIELD, July 20, 2015 - Preliminary nonfarm employment numbers for Connecticut from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’s establishment survey show the state added 600 jobs (0.04%) in June 2015, seasonally adjusted. The state has now increased total nonfarm job levels by 27,000 (1.62%, 2,250 jobs per month) over the year to 1,691,900. Connecticut’s private sector added 2,600 positions last month and has now increased job levels by 27,900 since June 2014 (1.96%, 2,325 jobs per month). May’s initially posted estimate of a nonfarm job increase of 6,400 (0.38%) was revised 500 positions lower to a 5,900 nonfarm jobs gain (0.35%).

Connecticut’s unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, was estimated at 5.7% in June 2015, down three-tenths of a percentage point from the revised May 2015 figure, according to the Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) model from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The state’s unemployment rate is lower by eight-tenths of a percentage point from June 2014 (6.5%). The number of Connecticut’s unemployed residents has declined by 13,414 (-11.0%) to 108,979 since June 2014.

“Above trend private-sector job growth looks to be continuing, while the jobless rate has recently declined significantly,” said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. “Connecticut’s unemployment rate, which is below 6% for the first time since August 2008, has not been this low since July 2008.”

Preliminary nonfarm job estimates indicate the state increased employment by 600 positions (0.04%) in June 2015, seasonally adjusted. Four of the ten major industry supersectors experienced employment gains, while five declined, and the information supersector was unchanged. Since June 2014, statewide job growth now totals 27,000 (1.62%), as eight of the ten major industry supersectors have increased employment while the government sector has declined and only the Information supersector remained unchanged.

Connecticut’s Private Sectors gained 2,600 (0.18%) nonfarm jobs in June 2015, and have now increased private employment by 27,900 (1.96%) jobs over the year. In contrast, the government supersector lost -2,000 net jobs in June (-0.83%), led lower by a weak local government subcomponent (-2,100, -1.4%). The government supersector has lost 900 positions (-0.38%) over the year.

Only four of the ten major industry supersectors added jobs in June, as five declined and the Information supersector was unchanged. The combined Construction and Mining (2,300, 3.9%) supersector was the best performing industry grouping last month following a strong gain in May as well. The next three positive industry supersectors all added 700 jobs and were highlighted by a Financial Activities supersector increase (0.5%). The Financial Activities supersector has turned positive in over the year employment comparisons this year. The Manufacturing (0.4%) and the Professional and Business Services (0.3%) also added 700 positions.

The Government supersector (-2,000, -0.8%) was the largest of five job declining industries in June. Local government (-2,100, -1.4%) was the main contributor to the job loss as the school year ended and summer hiring at the tribal casinos, which are tabulated in local government, has been subdued in recent years. The Leisure and Hospitality (-900, -0.6%) supersector was also somewhat lower last month. The Other Services (-400, -0.6%) and the Trade, Transportation & Utilities (-400, -0.1%, TTU) supersector both relinquished 400 jobs in June. Retail trade (+1,000, +0.5%) employment continued to be strong in June after May’s Tanger Outlet opening at Foxwood's Indian Casino, but wholesale trade (-800, -1.3%) and transportation and utilities (-600, -1.1%) job losses overwhelmed the TTU supersector. The Education and Health Services (-100, -0.03%) supersector, the largest of all of the state’s industry supersectors in employment at 330,000 - seasonally adjusted, was just marginally lower.

The year-to-date Connecticut nonfarm job growth pace (seasonally adjusted) for the first half of 2015 is 13,800 compared to 11,900 for the first six months of 2014.

Recession Recovery: Connecticut has now recovered 97,900 positions, or 82.3% of the 119,000 seasonally adjusted total nonfarm jobs that were lost in the state during the March 2008 - February 2010 employment recession. Connecticut’s jobs recovery is now 64 months old and is averaging about 1,530 jobs per month since February 2010. There have been 44 monthly job gains (68.8%), 19 monthly job losses, and one unchanged month (November 2010) in the ongoing recovery timeframe. The private sector has recovered employment at an enhanced pace and has now replenished 105,200 (94.3%) of the 111,600 private sector jobs that were lost during the same employment downturn (a frequency of approximately 1,644 per month). The state needs to reach the 1,713,000 job level to enter a nonfarm employment expansionary phase. This will require an additional 21,100 nonfarm jobs. A total of just 6,400 more private sector positions are needed to have a fully recovered private sector. The government supersector has continued to lose positions (net -7,300) during the employment recovery period.

Labor Market Areas (LMAs): It should be noted that due to town composition changes of greater than 4% in two of the six Bureau of Labor Statistics-recognized LMAs that went into effect at the beginning of this year, the Danbury and Waterbury LMAs are no longer seasonally adjusted by BLS. June 2015 preliminary nonfarm job statistics indicate that two of the four major Connecticut Labor Market Areas that are formally seasonally adjusted by the BLS produced job gains while two declined. In a display of rotating regional strength this month, the two gainers and decliners reversed positions from the two up and two down in the prior month. This time the Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA (2,100, 0.5%) and New Haven LMA (100, 0.04%) produced job growth while the Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (-1,500, -0.3%) and Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (-500, -0.4%) experienced seasonally adjusted job declines. Since June 2014, four of the six major Connecticut BLS-recognized LMAs have yielded annualized job gains, as have the three smaller state-estimated LMAs, with just the Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (-1,100, -0.9%, seasonally adjusted OTY) and the Danbury LMA (-200, -0.3%, not seasonally adjusted OTY) revealing job losses. Note: The six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently (only the largest four LMAs are officially seasonally adjusted) from the statewide numbers by the BLS and cover over 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. These estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total.

Hours and Earnings: The private sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 33.3 hours in June 2015, down five-tenths of an hour from the same month a year ago (33.8, -1.5%). Average hourly earnings at $28.64, not seasonally adjusted, were up 51 cents, or 1.8%, from the June 2014 average. The resultant average private sector weekly pay was calculated at $953.71, up just $2.92, or 0.3% higher than a year ago. The 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted) in June 2015 was 0.0% (comes out Friday flat OTY). Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the “Hours and Earnings” data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses.

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment
Year to Year Month to Month Previous Three Months
Jun 2015 Jun 2014 Change Rate % Jun 2015 May 2015 Change Rate % Apr 2015 Mar 2015 Feb 2015
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data State of Connecticut Employment
go to Connecticut nonfarm employment data table Connecticut Nonfarm Employment 1,691,900 1,664,900 27,000 1.6% 1,691,900 1,691,300 600 0.0% 1,685,400 1,686,000 1,682,700
go to Private Sector sector data table Private Sector 1,454,000 1,426,100 27,900 2.0% 1,454,000 1,451,400 2,600 0.2% 1,445,300 1,447,400 1,444,300
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Goods Producing Industries
go to Construction sector data table Construction 60,500 55,900 4,600 8.2% 60,500 58,300 2,200 3.8% 56,000 54,700 55,500
go to Manufacturing sector data table Manufacturing 160,500 159,400 1,100 0.7% 160,500 159,800 700 0.4% 160,900 159,700 159,300
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data Service Providing Industries
go to Transportation and Public Utilities sector data table Transportation and Public Utilities 306,500 300,800 5,700 1.9% 306,500 306,900 -400 -0.1% 303,600 304,900 303,300
go to Information sector data table Information 31,900 31,900 0 0.0% 31,900 31,900 0 0.0% 31,700 31,700 31,600
go to Financial Activities sector data table Financial Activities 130,200 128,300 1,900 1.5% 130,200 129,500 700 0.5% 129,500 129,400 129,800
go to Professional and Business Services sector data table Professional and Business Services 215,200 212,000 3,200 1.5% 215,200 214,500 700 0.3% 214,600 217,300 216,100
go to Educational and Health Services sector data table Educational and Health Services 330,000 324,400 5,600 1.7% 330,000 330,100 -100 -0.0% 330,100 329,600 329,600
go to Leisure and Hospitality sector data table Leisure and Hospitality 155,200 150,000 5,200 3.5% 155,200 156,100 -900 -0.6% 154,700 155,500 155,100
go to Other Services sector data table Other Services 63,400 62,800 600 1.0% 63,400 63,800 -400 -0.6% 63,700 64,000 63,400
go to Government sector data table Government 237,900 238,800 -900 -0.4% 237,900 239,900 -2,000 -0.8% 240,100 238,600 238,400
Graph Follow link below for more charts & data United States Employment
go to United States nonfarm employment data table United States Nonfarm Employment 141,842,000 138,907,000 2,935,000 2.1% 141,842,000 141,619,000 223,000 0.2% 141,399,000 141,144,000 141,057,000
 Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed Top
Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model utilizing residential survey data), the number of Connecticut unemployed, seasonally adjusted, declined a statistically significant 6,100 (-5.3%) over the month to 108,979 in June 2015. The number of unemployed state residents has fallen by 13,414 (-11.0%) since June 2014. A string of 20 consecutive months of increasing monthly labor force growth in the state going back to September 2013 came to an end this month (-3,642, -0.2%) and levels pulled back from a record all-time high labor force of 1,921,726 documented last month (since 1976). Over the year, labor force growth now shows a still robust increase of 35,362 (1.9%, considered statistically significant).
  2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Labor
Force
Resident
Emp.
Resident
Unemp.
Jan   1,887.5 1,755.9 131.6 1,893.5 1,723.6 169.9 1,918.5 1,741.4 177.1 1,903.1 1,745.9 157.2 1,866.9 1,716.5 150.4 1,875.0 1,741.7 133.3 1,904.5 1,784.2 120.2
Feb   1,887.8 1,751.2 136.6 1,895.4 1,724.1 171.3 1,918.1 1,741.5 176.5 1,901.0 1,744.2 156.8 1,865.4 1,716.5 148.9 1,877.6 1,746.1 131.6 1,909.9 1,788.0 121.9
Mar   1,888.4 1,746.9 141.5 1,897.8 1,725.8 172.0 1,916.7 1,741.4 175.3 1,898.5 1,741.3 157.2 1,865.1 1,717.5 147.6 1,879.7 1,750.2 129.5 1,915.8 1,794.0 121.9
Apr   1,889.3 1,743.3 145.9 1,900.8 1,728.4 172.4 1,914.6 1,741.0 173.5 1,895.4 1,737.4 158.0 1,865.9 1,719.5 146.3 1,881.0 1,753.9 127.1 1,920.6 1,800.6 120.0
May   1,890.1 1,740.3 149.8 1,904.0 1,731.5 172.5 1,912.2 1,740.8 171.4 1,891.9 1,733.0 159.0 1,867.1 1,722.0 145.2 1,881.8 1,757.2 124.6 1,921.7 1,806.6 115.1
Jun   1,890.7 1,737.7 153.0 1,907.2 1,734.5 172.7 1,910.2 1,741.1 169.0 1,888.3 1,728.6 159.7 1,868.2 1,724.3 143.8 1,882.7 1,760.3 122.4 1,918.1 1,809.1 109.0
Jul   1,891.0 1,735.3 155.7 1,910.0 1,736.8 173.2 1,908.8 1,742.1 166.7 1,884.8 1,725.0 159.9 1,868.7 1,726.3 142.4 1,884.3 1,763.5 120.9
Aug   1,891.2 1,733.0 158.2 1,912.4 1,738.4 174.0 1,907.9 1,743.4 164.5 1,881.5 1,722.3 159.3 1,868.6 1,727.9 140.7 1,886.8 1,766.7 120.0
Sep   1,891.3 1,730.7 160.7 1,914.3 1,739.3 175.0 1,907.4 1,744.8 162.5 1,878.4 1,720.4 158.0 1,868.5 1,729.4 139.1 1,889.9 1,770.1 119.8
Oct   1,891.4 1,728.2 163.2 1,915.9 1,739.9 176.0 1,906.8 1,746.1 160.8 1,875.3 1,719.1 156.2 1,868.9 1,731.4 137.5 1,893.3 1,773.6 119.7
Nov   1,891.6 1,725.8 165.7 1,917.2 1,740.5 176.8 1,906.0 1,746.8 159.3 1,872.2 1,718.0 154.2 1,870.2 1,734.1 136.0 1,896.5 1,776.8 119.7
Dec   1,892.2 1,724.2 168.0 1,918.1 1,741.0 177.2 1,904.8 1,746.7 158.0 1,869.3 1,717.1 152.2 1,872.3 1,737.6 134.7 1,899.4 1,779.5 119.9
 State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate Top
Connecticut’s unemployment rate was estimated at 5.7% for June 2015 (seasonally adjusted). This is down by three-tenths of a percentage point from the May 2015 figure, and down eight-tenths of a percentage point from the June 2014 rate of 6.5%. Connecticut’s unemployment rate has not been in the five percent range since August 2008 (5.9%) and has not been this low since July 2008, when it was also 5.7%, almost seven years ago. The United States unemployment rate was 5.3% in June, lower by two-tenths of a percentage point from May 2015, and lower by eight-tenths of a percentage point from a year ago (6.1%).
  2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons CT U.S. Year-to-Year comparisons
Jan  5.0 5.0 0.0 7.0 7.8 0.8 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.2 0.0 8.3 8.3 0.0 8.1 8.0 -0.1 7.1 6.6 -0.5 6.3 5.7 -0.6
Feb  5.0 4.9 -0.1 7.2 8.3 1.1 9.0 9.8 0.8 9.2 9.0 -0.2 8.3 8.3 0.0 8.0 7.7 -0.3 7.0 6.7 -0.3 6.4 5.5 -0.9
Mar  5.1 5.1 0.0 7.5 8.7 1.2 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.0 -0.1 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.9 7.5 -0.4 6.9 6.6 -0.3 6.4 5.5 -0.9
Apr  5.2 5.0 -0.2 7.7 9.0 1.3 9.1 9.9 0.8 9.1 9.1 0.0 8.3 8.2 -0.1 7.8 7.6 -0.2 6.8 6.2 -0.6 6.2 5.4 -0.8
May  5.4 5.4 0.0 7.9 9.4 1.5 9.1 9.6 0.5 9.0 9.0 0.0 8.4 8.2 -0.2 7.8 7.5 -0.3 6.6 6.3 -0.3 6.0 5.5 -0.5
Jun  5.5 5.6 0.1 8.1 9.5 1.4 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.8 9.1 0.3 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.7 7.5 -0.2 6.5 6.1 -0.4 5.7 5.3 -0.4
Jul  5.7 5.8 0.1 8.2 9.5 1.3 9.1 9.4 0.3 8.7 9.0 0.3 8.5 8.2 -0.3 7.6 7.3 -0.3 6.4 6.2 -0.2
Aug  5.9 6.1 0.2 8.4 9.6 1.2 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.6 9.0 0.4 8.5 8.0 -0.5 7.5 7.2 -0.3 6.4 6.1 -0.3
Sep  6.1 6.1 0.0 8.5 9.8 1.3 9.1 9.5 0.4 8.5 9.0 0.5 8.4 7.8 -0.6 7.4 7.2 -0.2 6.3 5.9 -0.4
Oct  6.3 6.5 0.2 8.6 10.0 1.4 9.2 9.4 0.2 8.4 8.8 0.4 8.3 7.8 -0.5 7.4 7.2 -0.2 6.3 5.7 -0.6
Nov  6.5 6.8 0.3 8.8 9.9 1.1 9.2 9.8 0.6 8.4 8.6 0.2 8.2 7.7 -0.5 7.3 7.0 -0.3 6.3 5.8 -0.5
Dec  6.7 7.3 0.6 8.9 9.9 1.0 9.2 9.3 0.1 8.3 8.5 0.2 8.1 7.9 -0.2 7.2 6.7 -0.5 6.3 5.6 -0.7

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate, based on a household survey, is a measure of the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Additionally, changes in methodology that culminated in March 2011 with the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics assuming complete responsibility for estimating all states’ monthly nonfarm job counts, have contributed to the month-to-month variability in the numbers. Jobs estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month’s estimate.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, August 20, 2015 (July 2015 data)
Go to the State of Connecticut website