In 1996, there were 24,743
graduates from local public high schools and 1,576 from
regional vocational-technical
schools in Connecticut. This
total, 26,319, is over 7,000 lower
than 10 years earlier, but is
expected to be the bottom of a
long-term decline in the number
of graduates (Table 1). Beginning in
1997, the number of graduates is
expected to rise, and increase to
30,170 by the year 2001.
While not profiled in this
article, an additional 5,382 adults received General Educational
Development (GED) or high school credit diplomas, and
there were an estimated
5,000 graduates from
nonpublic high schools in
the state.
Higher Proportions of Graduates Continuing Education
In 1996, the highest
proportion of Connecticut
graduates ever went on to
two-year and four-year
colleges and universities.
Correspondingly, there was a
continued decline in the number
and percentage of graduates
directly entering the workforce.
Graduates in workforce activities
include those in civilian or military
employment and those who
are unemployed but seeking
employment.
In 1996, 19,159 graduates
(72.8%) continued their education
at two-year and four-year colleges
and universities (Table 2). This
was up from 1986 when 18,970
graduates (58.7%) continued their
education. In 1996, an additional
792 graduates (3%) went on to
vocational schools or were in
other primarily educational
activities.
In 1996, 15,003 (57.0%)
attended four-year schools and
4,024 (15.3%) attended two-year
schools. The majority of graduates
attending four-year colleges,
8,653, went to out-of-state
schools. This continued a longterm
trend of graduates continuing
their education at out-of-state
schools.
Fewer Graduates Directly Enter Workforce
In 1996, 5,280 graduates
directly entered the workforce.
This represented 20.1% of the
total 26,319 graduates: 15.9% of
the total were local public school
graduates and 4.1% were vocational-
technical school graduates.
Of these, 779 entered the military,
4,136 were employed and
365 were unemployed.
In 1986, when a higher
percentage and a larger number
of graduates entered the work
force directly upon graduation than in any succeeding years,
over 9,500, or 31.3% entered the
workforce directly upon high
school completion.
Vocational-Technical Schools
Vocational-Technical (VT)
schools offer a wide range of programs providing occupational
preparation as well as academic
high school completion requirements.
In the last 10 years the number
of vocational-technical school
graduates has dropped much
more (36%) than the number of
local public graduates (19%).
Over the same time, a higher
percentage of vocational-technical
school graduates continued
their education following graduation.
In 1996, over 26% of vocational-technical
graduates continued their education
following graduation, while
in 1986 20% did so. Fewer
graduates and a higher proportion
continuing their education
have resulted in fewer vocational-technical
school graduates
directly entering the labor force.
In 1996, 1,105 graduates sought
employment, while 10 years
earlier over 1,500 did so.
Table 3 below provides detailed
follow-up information for 1995 graduates of vocationaltechnical
programs with 25 or
more graduates. (1996 program
detail not yet analyzed).
Table 4 shows
detailed information on the after graduation
activities of the 1996
graduating class.
Education and Labor force Activities Differ by District and Race
The State Department of
Education (SDE) created Education
Reference Groups (ERGS) to
group school districts with
similar characteristics. Groupings
were updated in 1996 based
upon 1990 census data and 1994
State Department of Education data related to socioeconomic
status, three statistics
related to student need and
district enrollment. Education Reference Groups range
from Group A which includes
suburbs with predominantly
wealthy, well-educated professional
residents to Group I,
which includes the state's five
most impoverished cities. (Detail
on Education Reference Groups available from Research
Bulletin 1, 1996-97, available
from State Department of Education
at (860) 566-7117).
As shown in Table 5 below,
after-graduation activities differ
by Education Reference Group. Graduates from wealthy
suburban Education Reference Groups are more likely
to continue their education than
urban area graduates, while
graduates from the urban Education Reference Groups
are more likely to enter the labor
force directly upon graduation
than their suburban peers.
After-graduation activities
also differ by race. Asian-American
and white graduates are
more likely to continue their
education than black or Hispanic
graduates, who are more likely to
be in workforce activities.
High School Dropouts
Many students,
however, do not stay
in school until
graduating. The
State Department of
Education began
collecting data on
high school dropouts
from all school
districts in the state
in 1991, when the
1995 graduates were
in ninth grade. For
the class of 1995,
17.4% of the ninth graders dropped out before
graduation. For the class of
1996, this rate dropped to
16.4%. This, however, represented
over 3,000 students
leaving high school before graduation.
Some of these dropouts
later receive their GEDs or adult
diplomas.
Data in this article are reported by
school districts to the State Department
of Education on the ED540,
Graduating Class Report (based on
October 15 activities of June graduates)
and ED525, Student Mobility
report, (based upon October 1 through
September 30 information). Projections
of graduates were made by the State
Department of Education.
This report was prepared by Pam
Casiano and Judy Thompson of the
Connecticut State Department of
Education, Division of Teaching and
Learning, Bureau of Research and
Teacher Assessment. Questions or
comments should be referred to Pam
Casiano at (860) 566-4723.
TABLE 1:
Year |
Public Schools |
Vocational-Technical Schools |
Total |
1996 |
24,743 |
1,576 |
26,319 |
1995 |
24,781 |
1,665 |
26,446 |
1994 |
24,523 |
1,807 |
26,330 |
1993 |
24,998 |
1,801 |
26,799 |
1992 |
25,276 |
1,804 |
27,080 |
1991 |
25,415 |
1,776 |
27,191 |
1990 |
26,479 |
2,048 |
28,527 |
1989 |
29,320 |
2,192 |
31,512 |
1988 |
30,906 |
2,135 |
33,041 |
1987 |
31,129 |
2,282 |
33,411 |
1986 |
30,479 |
2,479 |
32,958 |
TABLE 2:
Year |
Number of Graduates |
Those Attending College |
Work Force |
1996 |
26,319 |
19,159 |
5,280 |
1995 |
26,446 |
19,048 |
5,306 |
1994 |
26,330 |
18,596 |
5,524 |
1993 |
26,799 |
18,723 |
5,849 |
1992 |
27,080 |
18,696 |
5,870 |
1986 |
32,298 |
18,970 |
10,122 |
TABLE 3:
Vocational-Technical Course |
Number of Graduates |
Number Pursuing Education |
Number in Military |
Number with Job Related to Training |
Number with Job Unrelated to Training |
Auto Body Repair |
48 |
4 |
4 |
26 |
11 |
Auto Mechanics |
151 |
34 |
6 |
67 |
28 |
Carpentry |
121 |
15 |
8 |
49 |
26 |
Culinary |
127 |
34 |
6 |
39 |
21 |
Drafting Arch |
50 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
Drafting Mach |
88 |
40 |
4 |
11 |
22 |
Electrical |
177 |
31 |
6 |
80 |
35 |
Electro-Mechanical |
44 |
21 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
Electronics |
146 |
70 |
7 |
18 |
30 |
Fashion Technology |
36 |
13 |
1 |
9 |
8 |
Graphic Communication |
80 |
36 |
1 |
13 |
14 |
Hairdressing/Cosmetology |
176 |
36 |
2 |
59 |
34 |
Heating Vent & Air Conditioning |
90 |
16 |
5 |
40 |
13 |
Manufacturing Technology |
107 |
20 |
2 |
45 |
20 |
Plumbing & Heating |
96 |
7 |
1 |
40 |
31 |
VT schools offer the following programs which, in 1995, had fewer than 25 graduates: Baking, Engine Repair, Health
Tech, Hotel Tech, Masonry, Metal Trades Tech, Microcomputer SW Tech, Paint & Decorating, and Welding.
TABLE 4:
Activity |
Public School |
Vocational-Technical School |
Total |
Percent |
POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION |
Public Institutions of Higher Education: |
Four-Year Programs: |
Connecticut |
4,737 |
65 |
4,802 |
18.2 |
Out-of-State |
2,529 |
23 |
2,552 |
9.7 |
Two-Year Programs: |
Connecticut |
3,039 |
188 |
3,227 |
12.3 |
Out-of-State |
199 |
20 |
219 |
0.8 |
Private Institutions of Higher Education: |
Four-Year Programs: |
Connecticut |
1,534 |
14 |
1,548 |
5.9 |
Out-of-State |
6,072 |
29 |
6,101 |
23.2 |
Two-Year Programs: |
Connecticut |
282 |
15 |
297 |
1.1 |
Out-of-State |
270 |
11 |
281 |
1.1 |
Higher Education |
18,787 |
372 |
19,159 |
72.8 |
Vocational Education |
604 |
25 |
629 |
2.4 |
Other Education |
159 |
5 |
164 |
0.6 |
TOTAL POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION |
19,550 |
402 |
19,952 |
75.8 |
CAREER-RELATED ACTIVITIES |
Military Service |
690 |
89 |
779 |
3 |
Employed |
3,221 |
915 |
4,136 |
15.7 |
Unemployed |
264 |
101 |
365 |
1.4 |
TOTAL CAREER-RELATED ACTIVITIES |
4,175 |
1,105 |
5,280 |
20.1 |
MISCELLANEOUS |
|
|
|
|
Other |
212 |
10 |
222 |
0.8 |
Deceased, Incapacitated, or Unknown |
806 |
59 |
865 |
3.3 |
TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS |
1,018 |
69 |
1,087 |
4.1 |
GRAND TOTAL |
24,743 |
1,576 |
26,319 |
100 |
TABLE 5:
Education Reference Group |
Number of Graduates |
Percent Pursuing Education |
Percent in Workforce Activities |
Percent of Other |
A |
1,657 |
92.2 |
5.2 |
2.6 |
B |
4,520 |
87.3 |
9.2 |
3.5 |
C |
2,214 |
81.5 |
16.0 |
2.5 |
D |
3,593 |
80.8 |
16.3 |
2.9 |
E |
754 |
71.2 |
25.7 |
3.1 |
F |
3,783 |
75.7 |
19.6 |
4.7 |
G |
1,101 |
69.0 |
25.4 |
5.6 |
H |
3,991 |
75.4 |
19.8 |
4.8 |
I |
3,130 |
70.5 |
22.7 |
6.8 |
VT |
1,576 |
25.5 |
70.3 |
4.2 |
Total |
26,319 |
75.8 |
20.1 |
4.1 |
|
Racial/Ethnic Group: |
American Indian |
59 |
59.3 |
37.3 |
3.4 |
Asian American |
725 |
88.6 |
8.4 |
3.0 |
Black |
2,854 |
67.6 |
24.9 |
7.5 |
White |
20,745 |
77.8 |
18.8 |
3.4 |
Hispanic |
1,936 |
61.9 |
30.8 |
7.2 |
Total |
26,319 |
75.8 |
20.1 |
4.1 |
The Connecticut Department
of Economic and Community
Development announced that
Connecticut communities
authorized 7,714 new housing
units during 1996, a 7.1%
decrease compared to 1995
when 8,307 were authorized.
The Department further
indicated that the 589 units
permitted in December 1996
represent a decrease of 8.4%
from the 643 units permitted in
December 1995, and that they
are down 13.8% from November
1996 when 683 were authorized.
Totals for 1996 indicate that
Hartford County issued the most building permits with 1,734,
followed by Fairfield County with
1,667, and New Haven County
with 1,573. Stamford authorized
302 new units during 1996,
followed by Southington with
180, Milford with 174, Shelton
with 173, and Glastonbury with
170.
Reports from municipal
officials throughout the state
indicate that Fairfield County
showed the greatest percentage
increase in December compared
to the same month a year ago:
52.9%. Middlesex County reported
the greatest percentage
decline: 47.5% for the same
period.
Fairfield County documented
the largest number of
new, authorized units in
December with 182. New
Haven County followed with
155 units and Hartford County
had 95 units. Milford led all
Connecticut communities with
35 units, followed by Bridgeport
with 34 and Norwalk with
27.
Connecticut's growing plastics industry
will be highlighted at the
first Plastics Expo to be held on
April 2, 1997 at the Aquaturf
Club, Southington, CT. Over 60
exhibitors will be present to display
plastic parts and products
manufactured in Connecticut. Last
year, the Connecticut plastics industry
held its first Plastics Symposium
at the Legislative Office
Building in Hartford. Plastic parts
produced here were displayed to
highlight the importance of this
industry to Connecticut's manufacturing
and economic future.
Since then, a number manufacturing
projects, seminars, and pilot
training programs have developed,
expanding the visibility of this industry.
Nationally, the plastics industry is
a significant contributor to the
nation's economy, outpacing most other manufacturing industries in
the creation of jobs and economic
growth for America's communities.
In the past two decades, the
industry's producers of raw materials,
products, processing machinery
and molds have continually added new jobs to the economy
even as overall manufacturing employment
declined.
In Connecticut, this industry has
a projected annual growth rate well
above the overall average for industries
in Connecticut. There are
339 plastics facilities in the state,
with total annual shipments
greater than $3 billion, making
Connecticut one of the strongest
states for plastics manufacturing.
The plastics industry in Connecticut
provides more than 19,000
jobs, and generates more than
$600 million in annual wages.
This industry, including plastic
product manufacturers, machinery
companies and moldmakers,
wholesale distributors, and captive
plastic processors (integrated
with manufacturing in other industries)
- will be a key provider
of new employment opportunities
for Connecticut workers now and
into the 21st century.
Connecticut's leading employment
index climbed to a new peak with the release of the
(preliminary) November data. The
new peak, however, is not much
higher than the levels reached in
June and September of this year,
and is only 2.7 percent above its
level a year ago. Connecticut's
coincident employment index fell
slightly for the first time on a
month-to-month basis since
December 1995. The coincident
index, nonetheless, remains 7.1
percent higher than its level 12
months ago.
The coincident index, a gauge
of current employment activity,
caught its breath last month
from its recent strong upward
momentum. This recent momentum
reflects in large part the
lower insured unemployment
rate, down 17.2 percent (or 0.5
percentage point) over the last 12
months. But it also reflects
higher total employment, up 3.3
percent, and higher nonfarm
employment, up 1.3 percent.
With the release of the November data, however, both nonfarm
employment and total employment
were off a bit from October
while the unemployment rate
rose a tenth of a percentage
point. The only positive movement
in the components of the
coincident index between October
and November was the tenth of a
percentage point decrease in the
insured unemployment rate.
The leading index, a barometer
of future employment activity,
continues to bounce around,
although it is actually at its peak
in the current expansion. The
leading index has not moved in
the same direction, either up or
down, for more than two consecutive
months since December
1994. Nevertheless, over the past
12 months, the initial claims for
unemployment insurance fell by
25.6 percent, the short-duration
(less than 15 weeks) unemployment
rate fell by 11.9 percent (or
0.2 percentage point), Hartford
help-wanted advertising rose by
12.5 percent, and total housing
permits increased by 17.9 percent.
In summary, the coincident
employment index rose from 83.2
in November 1995 to 89.1 in
November 1996. Three of the four
index components point in a
positive direction on a year-overyear
basis with higher nonfarm
employment, higher total employment,
and a lower insured unemployment
rate. The other component,
the total unemployment
rate, remained unchanged on a
year-over-year basis.
The leading employment index
rose from 87.5 in November 1995
to 89.9 in November 1996. Four
of the five index components sent
positive signals on a year-overyear
basis with lower initial
claims for unemployment insurance,
a lower short-duration (less
than 15 weeks) unemployment
rate, higher Hartford help-wanted
advertising, and higher total
housing permits. The final component,
the average work week of
manufacturing production workers,
remained unchanged on a
year-over-year basis.
Source: Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut. Developed by Pami Dua [(203) 322-3466,
Stamford Campus (on leave)] and Stephen M. Miller [(860) 486-3853, Storrs Campus]. Tara Blois [(860) 486-4752, Storrs
Campus] provided research support.
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