Connecticut Department of Labor's Office of Research

Labor Market Information - State of Connecticut Labor Situation

State of Connecticut Labor Situation

Last Updated: July 18, 2019

	Nonfarm jobs fall by 1,400 in June; unemployment rate falls to 3.7%
	WETHERSFIELD, July 18, 2019 - Preliminary Connecticut nonfarm job estimates from the business payroll survey administered by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) show the state lost 1,400 net jobs (-0.1%) in June 2019, to a level of 1,692,200 seasonally adjusted. Over the year, nonagricultural employment in the state grew by 4,000 (0.2%). The May 2019 originally-released job loss of 1,500 was revised down by 400 to a loss of 1,900. The number of the state's unemployed residents was estimated at 70,900, seasonally adjusted, down 800 from May. As a result, Connecticut's June unemployment rate is at 3.7%, seasonally adjusted, down one-tenth of a point from the revised May level. Resident employment estimates include the self-employed and residents working out of state and are determined separately from the nonfarm payroll job estimates above. None of the movements in payroll job estimates or residential employment are considered statistically significant. "June's loss of 1,400 jobs was driven primarily by a large loss in government employment almost all of which came from local government," said Andy Condon, Director of the Office of Research. "Private sector employment actually grew by 800 jobs. Changes in school calendars and the timing of summer employment can often make seasonal adjustment of local government difficult. We will have to wait until next month to see if this drop in government employment was an anomaly."

Nonfarm Jobs Detail (business establishment survey)

Private Sector employment grew by 800 (0.1%) to 1,458,500 jobs over the month in June, and remains up 6,000 (0.4%) seasonally-adjusted jobs over June 2018. The Government supersector was down sharply in June (-2,200, -0.9%) to a total of 233,700, and is now down 2,000 jobs (-0.8%) over the year. Almost all of this decline was in local government which includes local education staff and casino employment. The Government supersector includes all federal, state and local employment, including public higher education and Native American casino employment located on tribal land.

Four of the ten major industry supersectors gained employment in June, while five declined. The Manufacturing supersector remained unchanged (160,700 total jobs). Educational and Health Services led gainers adding 1,600 jobs (0.5%, 340,700). The Financial Activities supersector (0.5%, 128,000) was next with a gain of 600 jobs. The Professional and Business Services (0.2%, 220,100) supersector picked up 400 jobs while Leisure and Hospitality added 100 (0.1%, 161,500) total jobs.

The above mentioned Government sector led employment losses in June. Construction and Mining was next, losing 1,100 positions (-1.9%, 57,900). Other Services dropped 400 (-0.6%, 63,300), while the Trade, Transportation & Utilities supersector declined by 300 (-0.1%, 293,700). Finally, the Information supersector saw a small decline of 100 jobs (-0.3%, 32,600).

Labor Market Information - Connecticut, Employment Sectors & United States Nonfarm Employment

		Year to Year				Month to Month				Previous Three Months
		Jun 2019	Jun 2018	Change	Rate %	Jun 2019	May 2019	Change	Rate %	Apr 2019	Mar 2019	Feb 2019
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	State of Connecticut Employment
	Connecticut Nonfarm Employment	1,692,200	1,688,200	4,000	0.2%	1,692,200	1,693,600	-1,400	-0.1%	1,695,500	1,695,000	1,694,700
	Private Sector	1,458,500	1,452,600	5,900	0.4%	1,458,500	1,457,700	800	0.1%	1,459,000	1,458,200	1,457,600

Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	Goods Producing Industries
	Construction	57,400	58,400	-1,000	-1.7%	57,400	58,500	-1,100	-1.9%	60,000	62,300	61,600

	Manufacturing	160,700	160,400	300	0.2%	160,700	160,700	0	0.0%	160,800	161,300	161,500
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	Service Providing Industries
	Trade, Transportation and Utilities	293,700	297,400	-3,700	-1.2%	293,700	294,000	-300	-0.1%	295,500	294,900	294,100

	Information	32,600	31,700	900	2.8%	32,600	32,700	-100	-0.3%	32,800	32,800	32,900

	Financial Activities	128,000	125,800	2,200	1.7%	128,000	127,400	600	0.5%	127,000	127,100	126,700

	Professional and Business Services	220,100	220,800	-700	-0.3%	220,100	219,700	400	0.2%	218,900	217,100	217,800

	Educational and Health Services	340,700	334,100	6,600	2.0%	340,700	339,100	1,600	0.5%	338,400	337,600	337,100

	Leisure and Hospitality	161,500	157,800	3,700	2.3%	161,500	161,400	100	0.1%	160,800	160,300	161,200

	Other Services	63,300	65,600	-2,300	-3.5%	63,300	63,700	-400	-0.6%	64,300	64,300	64,200

	Government	233,700	235,700	-2,000	-0.8%	233,700	235,900	-2,200	-0.9%	236,500	236,800	237,100
Graph	Follow link below for more charts & data	United States Employment
	United States Nonfarm Employment	151,308,000	149,007,000	2,301,000	1.5%	151,308,000	151,084,000	224,000	0.1%	151,020,000	150,796,000	150,643,000

Connecticut has now recovered 79.3% (95,400 jobs) of the 120,300 seasonally adjusted jobs lost in the "Great Recession" (3/08-1/10). The job recovery is now into its 112th month and the state needs an additional 24,900 net new jobs to reach an overall nonfarm employment expansion. The state's Private Sector is fully recovered at 101.0% (113,100) of the 112,000 private sector jobs lost in that same employment downturn.

Connecticut's Recessionary Job Loss and Recovery March 2008 - June 2019

Connecticut's Recessionary Job Loss and Recovery March 2008 - June 2019

March
2008 January
2010 June
2019 Jobs Lost Recovered

Jobs Percent

CT Nonfarm Employment 1,717.1 1,596.8 1,692.2 -120.3 95.4 79.3%

Total Private Sector 1,457.4 1,345.4 1,458.5 -112.0 113.1 101.0%

* March 2008 was employment peak. January 2010 was employment trough. Last Updated:July 18, 2019

Connecticut Labor Market Areas (LMAs): Two of the six LMAs seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics saw job increases in June 2019 and three saw a decline. The Danbury LMA (77,900) remained unchanged. The New Haven LMA saw an increase of 300 jobs (0.1%, 286,600) while the Norwich-New London-Westerly LMA (0.2%, 130,500) gained 200. The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford LMA (-0.2%, 583,500) shed 1,300 jobs and the Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk LMA (-0.3%, 408,200) fell by 1,100 jobs. The Waterbury LMA (-0.7%, 68,800) dropped 500 net jobs.

	June	May	April	March	June	Over Month		Over Year
Seasonally Adjusted data	2019 P	2019 R	2019	2019	2018	Change	Rate	Change	Rate
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk	408,200	409,300	410,500	410,000	408,800	-1,100	-0.3%	-600	-0.1%
Danbury	77,900	77,900	77,700	77,700	77,200	0	0.0%	700	0.9%
Hartford	583,500	584,800	582,500	582,100	581,900	-1,300	-0.2%	1,600	0.3%
New Haven	286,600	286,300	286,200	287,400	285,000	300	0.1%	1,600	0.6%
Norwich-New London-Westerly, RI	130,500	130,300	129,900	130,200	130,000	200	0.2%	500	0.4%
Waterbury	68,800	69,300	69,500	69,400	69,100	-500	-0.7%	-300	-0.4%
Not Seasonally Adjusted data (Non
Enfield	45,000	45,300	45,400	44,600	44,900	-300	-0.7%	100	0.2%
Torrington-Northwest	34,200	33,400	32,700	32,200	34,000	800	2.4%	200	0.6%
Danielson-Northeast	27,300	27,300	26,900	26,500	27,200	0	0.0%	100	0.4%

* Less than					P = Preliminary		R = Revised

Note: Six major Connecticut LMAs are estimated independently from the statewide data by the BLS and cover more than 90% of the nonfarm employment in the state. Thus, estimates will not fully sum to the statewide total.

Hours and Earnings: The Private Sector workweek, not seasonally adjusted, averaged 33.9 hours in June 2019, up by two-tenths of an hour from the same month a year ago. Average hourly earnings at $32.77, not seasonally adjusted, were up $1.36 (4.3%) from the June 2018 estimate ($31.41). The resultant average Private Sector sector weekly pay amounted to $1,110.90, up $52.38 from a year ago (4.9%).

	AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS				AVG WEEKLY HOURS				AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
	Jun		CHG	May	Jun		CHG	May	Jun		CHG	May
(Not seasonally adjusted)	2019	2018	Y/Y	2019	2019	2018	Y/Y	2019	2019	2018	Y/Y	2019
PRODUCTION WORKER
MANUFACTURING	$1,141.83	$1,063.13	$78.70	$1,159.40	42.4	41.0	1.4	42.5	$26.93	$25.93	$1.00	$27.28
DURABLE GOODS	1,247.08	1,164.91	82.17	1,260.77	41.5	42.1	-0.6	41.5	30.05	27.67	2.38	30.38
NON-DUR. GOODS	822.20	763.52	58.68	848.58	45.3	37.1	8.2	45.5	18.15	20.58	-2.43	18.65
CONSTRUCTION	1,193.73	1,179.00	14.73	1,193.54	40.7	39.3	1.4	40.2	29.33	30.00	-0.67	29.69

ALL EMPLOYEES
STATEWIDE
TOTAL PRIVATE	1,110.90	1,058.52	52.39	1,102.56	33.9	33.7	0.2	33.8	32.77	31.41	1.36	32.62
GOODS PRODUCING	1,398.26	1,305.72	92.54	1,402.23	39.2	39.0	0.2	38.8	35.67	33.48	2.19	36.14
Construction	1,276.91	1,171.17	105.74	1,309.07	38.8	38.5	0.3	39.1	32.91	30.42	2.49	33.48
Manufacturing	1,468.54	1,382.00	86.54	1,459.94	40.4	40.0	0.4	39.9	36.35	34.55	1.80	36.59
SERVICE PROVIDING	1,061.28	1,015.82	45.46	1,048.85	33.0	32.8	0.2	32.9	32.16	30.97	1.19	31.88
Trade, Transp., Utilities	936.26	857.95	78.31	914.89	33.8	33.1	0.7	33.5	27.70	25.92	1.78	27.31
Financial Activities	1,853.31	1,720.77	132.54	1,730.04	37.9	36.8	1.1	36.7	48.90	46.76	2.14	47.14
Prof. & Business Serv.	1,231.16	1,218.10	13.05	1,245.38	34.7	34.4	0.3	34.7	35.48	35.41	0.07	35.89
Education & Health Ser.	958.42	948.67	9.74	976.36	32.8	32.4	0.4	33.3	29.22	29.28	-0.06	29.32
Leisure & Hospitality	452.11	466.75	-14.64	465.12	25.3	26.4	-1.1	25.5	17.87	17.68	0.19	18.24
Other Services	775.85	795.34	-19.50	781.62	31.5	32.2	-0.7	30.7	24.63	24.70	-0.07	25.46

LABOR MARKET AREAS: TOTAL PRIVATE
Bridgeport-Stamford	1,196.04	1,149.51	46.53	1,182.52	34.3	33.7	0.6	34.0	34.87	34.11	0.76	34.78
Danbury	1,056.42	986.36	70.07	1,069.15	34.9	34.5	0.4	35.1	30.27	28.59	1.68	30.46
Hartford	1,175.64	1,109.61	66.03	1,171.56	34.7	34.3	0.4	34.6	33.88	32.35	1.53	33.86
New Haven	1,079.87	1,010.66	69.21	1,071.49	34.6	33.3	1.3	34.8	31.21	30.35	0.86	30.79
Norwich-New London	787.27	876.53	-89.26	806.70	29.9	32.5	-2.6	30.0	26.33	26.97	-0.64	26.89
Waterbury	958.01	894.69	63.33	941.21	33.9	33.8	0.1	33.4	28.26	26.47	1.79	28.18

Information for the manufacturing production workweek and earnings can be found in the table section of this release under the "Hours and Earnings" data category. Current all-employee private sector hours and earnings estimates can be volatile due to fluctuating sample responses.

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, the same increase as in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.6 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in the indexes for shelter, apparel, and used cars and trucks more than offset declines in energy indexes to result in the seasonally adjusted all items monthly increase in June. The energy index fell 2.3 percent as all of the major energy component indexes declined. The food index was unchanged as the index for food away from home rose but the index for food at home declined.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 in June, its largest monthly increase since January 2018. Along with the indexes for shelter, used cars and trucks, and apparel, the indexes for household furnishings and operations, medical care, and motor vehicle insurance were among the indexes that increased in June. The indexes for recreation, airline fares, and personal care all declined in June.

The all items index increased 1.6 percent for the 12 months ending June, a smaller increase than the 1.8-percent rise for the period ending May. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.1 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index increased 1.9 percent. The energy index, in contrast, declined 3.4 percent over the last 12 months.

State of Connecticut Unemployment Rate vs. United States Unemployment Rate

The June 2019 unemployment rate for Connecticut is estimated at 3.7% (seasonally adjusted), down one-tenth of a point from the revised May 2019 figure and down four-tenths of a percentage point from a year ago when it was 4.1%. The US jobless rate in June 2019 was 3.7%, down three-tenths of a point from June 2018.

Month	2012			2013			2014			2015			2016			2017			2018			2019
Month	CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.		CT	U.S.
Jan	8.2	8.3	0.1	8.2	8.0	-0.2	7.2	6.6	-0.6	6.1	5.7	-0.4	5.5	4.9	-0.6	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.5	4.1	-0.4	3.8	4.0	0.2
Feb	8.2	8.3	0.1	8.1	7.7	-0.4	7.0	6.7	-0.3	6.0	5.5	-0.5	5.5	4.9	-0.6	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.5	4.1	-0.4	3.8	3.8	0.0
Mar	8.3	8.2	-0.1	8.1	7.5	-0.6	6.9	6.7	-0.2	5.9	5.4	-0.5	5.4	5.0	-0.4	4.9	4.4	-0.5	4.4	4.0	-0.4	3.9	3.8	-0.1
Apr	8.3	8.2	-0.1	8.0	7.6	-0.4	6.8	6.2	-0.6	5.8	5.4	-0.4	5.3	5.0	-0.3	4.8	4.4	-0.4	4.3	3.9	-0.4	3.8	3.6	-0.2
May	8.4	8.2	-0.2	7.9	7.5	-0.4	6.7	6.3	-0.4	5.7	5.6	-0.1	5.3	4.8	-0.5	4.7	4.4	-0.3	4.2	3.8	-0.4	3.8	3.6	-0.2
Jun	8.5	8.2	-0.3	7.9	7.5	-0.4	6.6	6.1	-0.5	5.7	5.3	-0.4	5.2	4.9	-0.3	4.7	4.3	-0.4	4.1	4.0	-0.1	3.7	3.7	0.0
Jul	8.5	8.2	-0.3	7.8	7.3	-0.5	6.5	6.2	-0.3	5.6	5.2	-0.4	5.1	4.8	-0.3	4.6	4.3	-0.3	4.0	3.9	-0.1
Aug	8.5	8.1	-0.4	7.8	7.2	-0.6	6.5	6.1	-0.4	5.6	5.1	-0.5	5.0	4.9	-0.1	4.5	4.4	-0.1	4.0	3.8	-0.2
Sep	8.4	7.8	-0.6	7.7	7.2	-0.5	6.4	5.9	-0.5	5.6	5.0	-0.6	5.0	5.0	0.0	4.5	4.2	-0.3	3.9	3.7	-0.2
Oct	8.4	7.8	-0.6	7.5	7.2	-0.3	6.3	5.7	-0.6	5.6	5.0	-0.6	4.9	4.9	0.0	4.5	4.1	-0.4	3.8	3.8	0.0
Nov	8.3	7.7	-0.6	7.4	6.9	-0.5	6.3	5.8	-0.5	5.6	5.1	-0.5	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.5	4.2	-0.3	3.8	3.7	-0.1
Dec	8.2	7.9	-0.3	7.3	6.7	-0.6	6.2	5.6	-0.6	5.6	5.0	-0.6	4.9	4.7	-0.2	4.5	4.1	-0.4	3.8	3.9	0.1

The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate and labor force estimates are based on a household survey, and measure the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Job and employment estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month's value.

Labor Force / Residents Employed / Residents Unemployed

Based on the Local Area Unemployment Statistics model (LAUS - a statistical model using the CPS - Current Population Survey residential data), the number of Connecticut unemployed residents, seasonally adjusted, was down 800 from May at 70,900. Over the year, the number of the state's jobless residents declined by 7,700 (-9.8%). The state's labor force was down an estimated 3,400 over the month at 1,907,500, but is higher over the year by 7,500 (0.4%). The annual growth margin in the state's labor force has continued to shrink in recent months.

June 2019 seasonally adjusted average weekly initial unemployment claims for first-time filers in Connecticut was 3,823 - up from May by 785 claims and higher by 574 claims (17.7%) from the June 2018 level of 3,249.

Month	2013			2014			2015			2016			2017			2018			2019
Month	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.	Labor Force	Resident Emp.	Resident Unemp.
Jan	1,866.1	1,713.9	152.2	1,870.1	1,736.2	134.0	1,902.8	1,786.9	115.9	1,881.6	1,778.2	103.3	1,903.2	1,811.1	92.1	1,888.1	1,802.0	86.1	1,923.6	1,849.7	73.9
Feb	1,862.4	1,711.4	151.0	1,873.3	1,741.5	131.8	1,901.8	1,787.7	114.1	1,882.8	1,780.4	102.4	1,904.3	1,812.3	92.1	1,888.7	1,803.8	84.9	1,923.6	1,849.7	73.9
Mar	1,860.3	1,710.4	149.9	1,876.5	1,746.7	129.8	1,899.7	1,787.6	112.1	1,884.4	1,783.1	101.3	1,904.3	1,812.4	91.9	1,890.3	1,806.9	83.4	1,920.9	1,846.8	74.1
Apr	1,860.3	1,711.5	148.9	1,879.5	1,751.6	127.9	1,896.6	1,786.4	110.2	1,886.4	1,786.0	100.4	1,902.9	1,811.6	91.3	1,892.8	1,811.0	81.8	1,915.6	1,843.1	72.5
May	1,861.7	1,713.8	147.9	1,882.4	1,756.3	126.1	1,892.8	1,784.4	108.4	1,888.8	1,789.2	99.6	1,900.6	1,810.2	90.3	1,896.0	1,815.8	80.2	1,910.9	1,839.3	71.7
Jun	1,863.4	1,716.5	147.0	1,885.8	1,761.2	124.6	1,888.6	1,781.8	106.8	1,891.4	1,792.7	98.7	1,897.9	1,808.6	89.3	1,900.0	1,821.3	78.6	1,907.5	1,836.6	70.9
Jul	1,864.6	1,718.7	146.0	1,889.4	1,766.0	123.4	1,884.7	1,779.1	105.6	1,893.6	1,796.1	97.5	1,895.4	1,807.0	88.5	1,905.3	1,828.2	77.0
Aug	1,865.0	1,720.3	144.6	1,893.2	1,770.7	122.6	1,881.7	1,776.8	105.0	1,895.4	1,799.3	96.1	1,893.3	1,805.4	87.9	1,911.0	1,835.5	75.5
Sep	1,865.0	1,722.2	142.9	1,896.8	1,775.1	121.7	1,879.8	1,775.1	104.7	1,897.0	1,802.3	94.7	1,891.6	1,804.1	87.5	1,916.5	1,842.3	74.2
Oct	1,865.5	1,724.7	140.8	1,899.8	1,779.1	120.7	1,879.2	1,774.5	104.7	1,898.3	1,804.9	93.4	1,890.3	1,802.9	87.4	1,920.7	1,847.4	73.3
Nov	1,867.1	1,728.3	138.8	1,901.8	1,782.5	119.3	1,879.6	1,775.0	104.6	1,899.7	1,807.2	92.5	1,889.2	1,801.9	87.3	1,921.2	1,848.0	73.2
Dec	1,869.7	1,733.0	136.7	1,902.8	1,785.1	117.7	1,880.5	1,776.3	104.1	1,901.5	1,809.3	92.1	1,888.4	1,801.5	86.9	1,920.7	1,847.3	73.4


	The nonfarm employment estimate, derived from a survey of businesses, is a measure of jobs in the state; the unemployment rate and labor force estimates are based on a household survey, and measure the work status of people who live in Connecticut. Overall, as the national and state economies recover, volatility in monthly numbers can be expected. Job and employment estimates are best understood in the context of their movement over several months rather than observed changes in a single month's value.

Next Connecticut Labor Situation release: Thursday, August 15, 2019 (July 2019 data)


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